(Updates throughout; refreshes prices at 0900 GMT)
By Amanda Cooper
LONDON, April 23 (Reuters) - Global shares rose on
Tuesday, driven by a recovery on Wall Street, where investor
focus is pinned on earnings reports from the U.S. megacaps,
while the yen hit a new 34-year low against the dollar,
prompting a warning from Japanese officials.
The MSCI All-World index, which on Friday
hit a two-month low, was up 0.2%, lifted by gains in Europe,
where the FTSE 100 hit a record high, while the STOXX
600 traded at one-week highs thanks to the technology
sector.
Adding to the optimism was a series of surveys of business
activity that showed Germany returned to growth in early April
after months of contraction, while activity in the broader euro
zone expanded at its fastest clip in nearly a year.
Investors are less concerned right now about the threat of a
major re-escalation of tension in the Middle East and more
focused on earnings.
Against that backdrop, gold is heading for a week-on-week
drop of 3.2%, its largest this year, while oil has backed off
last week's highs.
"We are turning a bit more positive on risk sentiment. There
still remains a fair bit of uncertainty around geopolitics and
rising U.S. real yields, but we are more positive than we were a
week ago," Mohit Kumar, a strategist at Jefferies, said.
The dollar retreated from its recent highs, but is
comfortably supported by the view among investors that no rate
cuts will be forthcoming any time soon from the Federal Reserve
and by the climb this month in Treasury yields to their highest
since November.
On Wall Street, big tech shares outperformed ahead of
quarterly results this week, sending the Nasdaq 1.1%
higher. AI darling Nvidia ( NVDA ) gained 4.4% while Amazon.com ( AMZN )
rose 1.5% and Alphabet jumped 1.4%, although
Tesla dropped 3.4 as it cut prices in its major
markets.
Tuesday brings a wealth of big-cap earnings, including
Tesla, PepsiCo, UPS, Lockheed Martin ( LMT )
and Halliburton ( HAL )
"Odds are the earnings reports that we see over the next few
weeks will be positive, but obviously there's still issues
around what the Fed will do the next," said Shane Oliver, chief
economist at AMP. "It's too early to say that problems in the
Middle East have gone away."
"There are lots of things that could cause volatility
between now and the end of the year. And so we're probably
coming to a more constrained, more volatile period for markets."
Aside from Tesla, Meta Platforms, Alphabet and Microsoft
will release earnings this week.
MEGA WOBBLE?
UBS on Monday downgraded its rating on the mega-cap
companies, warning that profit growth momentum of the so-called
Big Six technology stocks could "collapse" over the next few
quarters.
U.S. business activity, quarterly economic growth and a
measure of monthly inflation top the macro data bill this week.
Traders now expect the first Fed rate cut to come most
likely in September and just 40 basis points' worth of cuts,
compared with expectations for 150 bps of cuts at the beginning
of the year.
Treasuries have been a big casualty of the shift in
thinking. The yield on the two-year note, the most
sensitive to changes in rate expectations, was up 1.8 bps at
4.898%.
In Europe, the picture is different. The European Central
Bank is expected to cut in June and this divergence is weighing
on the euro. It was last up 0.2% at $1.0673, not far
off last week's five-month low of $1.0601.
The yen slid to another 34-year low on Tuesday,
but recovered modestly to trade flat at 154.85 to the dollar.
Japan finance minister Shunichi Suzuki said last week's
trilateral meeting with his U.S. and South Korean counterparts
laid the groundwork for Tokyo to take appropriate action in the
foreign exchange market.
This is the clearest warning yet from Japanese monetary
authorities that tolerance for the slide in the currency is
wearing thin and official intervention to prop it up is likely.
Oil recovered some of the sharp losses overnight as
investors continued to assess the situation in Middle East.
Brent futures rose 0.9% to $87.80 a barrel, while U.S.
crude rose 0.9% to $82.60 a barrel.
Gold fell for a second day, dropping 1% to $2,300 an
ounce, after shedding 2.7% the day before, as investors took
profit on the 12% rally in the price so far this year.
(Additional reporting by Stella Qiu in Sydney. Editing by Sam
Holmes, Kim Coghill and Ros Russell)