* Oil prices surge nearly 3% as Gulf hostilities threaten
Strait of Hormuz reopening
* AI demand drives global stocks to record highs despite
Middle East tensions
* Fed speakers, payroll data in focus as rate hike odds
remain split
(Updates throughout)
By Wayne Cole and Amanda Cooper
SYDNEY/LONDON, June 1 (Reuters) - Global stocks traded
at record highs on Monday as the AI boom continued to drive
demand, offsetting news of fresh attacks in the Gulf that
challenged optimism about a reopening of the Strait of Hormuz
and lifted oil prices.
While negotiators from Washington and Tehran are apparently
working to hammer out a deal, U.S. President Donald Trump had
been silent on their progress until posting that everyone should
"just sit back and relax".
Speaking on Saturday, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said
the U.S. was ready to restart attacks on Iran if a deal could
not be reached. On Monday, news emerged that U.S. forces struck
Iranian targets over the weekend and Tehran had hit back, while
Kuwaiti defences were reportedly intercepting missile and drone
strikes.
Brent crude futures rose nearly 3% to $94 a barrel,
which in turn prompted a selloff in government bonds, which have
been hurt by growing expectations for interest rates to rise to
combat any spikes in inflation.
The MSCI All-World index was up 0.13% to
trade around record highs, as markets from Tokyo to Seoul traded
at or near all-time peaks, underpinned by avid demand for
anything AI-related.
"Even though there have been attacks from both sides, the
market is holding on to the fact that negotiations are ongoing,
and an elusive Iran/U.S. deal to end the war in the Middle East
and to reopen the Strait of Hormuz will still be found," XTB
research director Kathleen Brooks said.
"As the focus switches to a raft of macro releases later
this week, investors will need to watch how this plays out, and
any delay in reaching a deal could knock market sentiment," she
said.
The power of the AI rush was underlined by data showing
South Korea's exports grew at the strongest annual rate in more
than four decades in May to hit a record $87.75 billion.
Nvidia ( NVDA ) boss Jensen Huang kicks off the Computex
trade show in Taiwan on Monday with a speech about AI in which
he is expected to expound on his company's latest product
efforts as well as the island's central role in the industry.
PAYROLLS AHEAD
European stocks were down marginally on the day, as
gains in energy shares were offset by losses in airlines and
defence shares.
S&P 500 futures were up 0.3%, while Nasdaq futures
firmed 0.5% after the benchmark indexes hit records last
week.
The inflationary pulse from oil continued to hamper bond
markets as U.S. 10-year yields rose 1 basis point to
4.46%, while yields on 10-year German debt rose 4.2
bps on the day to 2.98%.
A host of Fed members are set to speak this week, while
major U.S. data include the ISM survey of manufacturing and the
May payrolls report on Friday.
Market forecasts are for a solid rise of 85,000 in
employment, keeping the jobless rate steady at 4.3%. Anything
stronger would likely see the odds of a hike narrow further.
"The lineup of Federal Reserve speakers throughout the week
should continue to reinforce a balanced two-way policy approach,
with officials remaining open to both rate hikes and rate cuts
depending on incoming data," Pepperstone chief market strategist
Chris Weston said.
"Consequently, expectations may build that the Fed gradually
moves away from its easing bias and towards a more neutral
policy stance in the months ahead."
Markets imply a 50-50 chance the Federal Reserve will have
to hike rates by year-end, which has helped the dollar remain
firm against a range of currencies, most notably, the Japanese
yen.
The dollar was up another 0.12% against the yen at 159.46
, just below the 160 barrier that many believe could
trigger another round of official intervention to boost the
Japanese currency.