(Updates prices, adds fresh commentary)
By Naomi Rovnick and Ankur Banerjee
LONDON/SINGAPORE, May 24 (Reuters) - Global stocks
slipped on Friday after robust U.S. and German economic data
bolstered prospects of interest rates staying higher for longer
on both sides of the Atlantic.
MSCI's global share index, which recently
hit intraday highs after a rush into artificial intelligence
stocks ignited by strong results from $2.6 trillion chipmaker
Nvidia ( NVDA ), fell 0.2% and was set for a 0.9% weekly loss.
Europe's Stoxx 600 share index was 0.7% lower in
early dealings, down 1% over the week.
Premier Miton Investors chief investment officer Neil
Birrell said stock markets could enter a tug of war between
strong economic growth and sustainably high interest rates
reducing appetite for equities over fixed-income bonds.
"Earnings are strong but the bar for the sort of upside
surprise needed to push markets higher is rising," he said.
"Bonds and equities are also very correlated at the moment
and a rise in (U.S.) Treasury yields back towards 5% is the sort
of thing people get worried about."
Stocks were shaken in October when the yield on the benchmark
10-year Treasury hit 5%. This key debt yield, which
climbs as the price of the security falls in response to
expectations of higher interest rates, touched 4.498% on
Thursday and was last at 4.475%.
Data on Thursday showed U.S. jobless claims dropped, while
business activity was expanding faster than economists had
expected.
In Europe, an official report on Friday confirmed earlier
estimates that Germany's economy expanded by 0.2% in the first
quarter of 2024, recovering from a contraction at the end of
last year.
The strong U.S. economic data, along with hawkish minutes
from the Federal Reserve's last meeting earlier in the week, led
traders to dial back their bets on U.S. rate cuts this year.
Markets are now pricing in just 35 basis points (bps) of
easing in 2024, versus expectations of 150 bps of cuts at the
start of the year, with a rate cut fully priced-in only in
December..
ECB CUT IN JUNE
The European Central Bank (ECB) has all but committed a rate
cut in June but its policymakers have warned further easing may
not be warranted because they expect inflation, which has
moderated substantially, to hover above their 2% target until
2025.
The yield on Germany's 10-year bund, last at
2.59%, has risen by the most in a week since mid-April.
The dollar index, which measures the U.S. currency
against a basket of six major peers, is up more than 0.5% on the
week to 105.06, its largest one-week rise since mid-April.
.
The U.S. currency has gained about 0.5% against the euro
this week and about 1% against the Japanese yen,,
which has weakened severely in recent months to 157 per dollar
as the Bank of Japan kept monetary policy loose.
Data on Friday showed core inflation in Japan slowed for a
second straight month in April, remaining above the central
bank's 2% target but also signalling the BoJ would remain
cautious about raising rates as consumer spending stays fragile.
Sterling was muted on Friday at $1.269, having
touched a two-month high of $1.2761 on Wednesday as traders
pondered data showing inflation did not slow as much as expected
in April.
British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak announced on Wednesday he
was calling a general election, with polls showing a big lead
for his Labour Party rival Keir Starmer, who may become the
nation's sixth leader in eight years following intense political
turmoil.
British government bonds have underperformed major peers
this week, with the 10-year gilt yield 13 basis
points higher and the interest rate sensitive two-year yield
up 18 bps to 4.5%.
In commodities, oil prices were steady, with Brent crude
at $81.27.
Gold prices rose 0.4% to $2338.52 per ounce but was
heading for a 3.2% weekly decline for the week, its biggest
weekly drop since December.
(Editing by Lincoln Feast, Michael Perry and Alex Richardson)