(Updated at 10:45 a.m. ET (1445 GMT))
By Tom Westbrook and Amanda Cooper
SINGAPORE/LONDON, July 30 (Reuters) -
World stocks were mixed in choppy trading on Monday as
investors were jittery ahead of major corporate earnings reports
and central bank moves, and concern over the global economic
outlook dented commodities and oil prices touched early June
lows.
Global crude benchmark futures fell 1.4% as worry
over Chinese energy demand outweighed any concern about tensions
in the Middle East or Venezuela.
Copper and iron ore prices were also lower, and aluminium
fell to multi-month lows, while there was little by way of
support from China's Politburo, which at its July meeting
announced no new detailed efforts to boost the economy.
"The consensus is that the U.S. economy is going to be
softer this quarter and maybe next quarter as well and you can't
really rely on the euro area to offer any compensation for that.
China has got its own problems and doesn't look like it's going
to snap into gear," Daiwa Capital economist Chris Scicluna said.
"Understandably, we might have been hoping for the global
economy to be gaining traction and momentum to be picking up at
this stage in the cycle, but it looks like maybe things are
coming off the boil a bit," he said.
The MSCI All-World index, which is
heading for a third straight monthly gain in July, eased 0.29
points, or 0.04%, to 804.06 by 10:45 a.m. ET (1445 GMT).
On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average
rose 162.83 points, or 0.40%, to 40,702.76, the S&P 500
lost 2.44 points, or 0.04%, to 5,461.10 and the Nasdaq Composite
lost 63.85 points, or 0.37%, to 17,306.35.
In Europe, London's FTSE 100 retreated. Top spirits
maker Diageo ( DEO ) hit a 4-1/2-year low following a profit
miss.
Preliminary euro zone data showed economic growth in the
single currency bloc expanded at an annual rate of 0.6% in the
second quarter of this year, above forecasts for a reading of
0.5%. A separate report showed the German economy unexpectedly
contracted in the second quarter, but this had little bearing on
expectations for interest rates.
German 10-year Bund yields fell nearly 1%.
'CALM BEFORE THE STORM'
Interest rates remain front and centre. Japanese government
bond yields edged lower with the 10-year JGB yield
ending down 3 basis points at 0.995%.
Ten-year U.S. Treasury yields eased to
4.1743%.
"The term 'calm before the storm' has been heard across the
floors," said Chris Weston, head of research at Pepperstone in
Melbourne. "This is a day for position management and to review
broad exposures."
Markets are pricing almost no chance of a U.S. rate cut this
week, but have fully priced a 25-basis-point reduction in the
Fed Funds rate for September and so expect policymakers to sound
dovish.
In Japan, a broader range of outcomes is on the table, with
markets pricing a nearly 60% chance of a 10-basis-point rate
hike and expecting to hear about how the Bank of Japan plans to
edge its way out of an enormous bond-buying programme.
The dollar and yen drifted, but kept in fairly compact
ranges after recent breakout moves.
The euro edged down. The yen, which has
rebounded sharply from a 38-year low of 161.96 per dollar hit
early in July, came under pressure.
"We are at an interesting intersection for yen here," said
Nathan Swami, head of currency trading at Citi in Singapore,
with this week's central bank meetings possibly sketching a
shift in the rates outlook and the yen's trajectory.
"It is too early to tell if the factors driving yen weakness
have changed permanently. For now, this seems more like a
short-term correction to the USD/JPY higher trend, but we feel
there is downside risk that needs to be priced into a trade."
Later in the day, Microsoft ( MSFT ) and chipmaker AMD
will report earnings after the bell in New York, while
preliminary CPI data is due in Germany and Spain.
Australian inflation data will also be released on Wednesday
and the Bank of England is priced for a roughly even chance of a
rate cut at its policy meeting on Thursday.
(Editing by Sherry Jacob-Phillips, Sharon Singleton, Ros
Russell and Marguerita Choy)