March 25 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian
markets.
Investors in Asia may favor playing it conservative ahead of
a slew of economic indicators in coming days, especially with
Japan's stock market notching consecutive record highs and
market closures on Friday for many centers, including China.
Japan's Nikkei 225 was hardly unique last week, extending its
rally on Thursday and Friday. While dovish central bank signals
emanated from the Federal Reserve, Swiss National Bank and Bank
of England, it was the Bank of Japan that kicked off the hectic
central bank news cycle by ending its long-held policy of yield
curve control and negative interest rate in a signal of
confidence in Japan's economic recovery.
But Wall Street and other exchanges paused on Friday to digest
their record runs and Japan could be due for its own moment of
consolidation in the coming days.
Japan does get revised January leading indicators on Monday
and services PPI data, while Tokyo CPI is due on Thursday.
Consumer price inflation data is also due from Malaysia and
Singapore on Monday.
YUAN'S SLIDE COULD FURTHER DISRUPT
Of more concern for the region's currencies is Friday's
sell-off in the China's yuan to a four-month low on the weaker
side of the 7.2 per dollar level. It ended the U.S. session at
7.2759 amid growing market expectations that Beijing
will have to deliver further monetary easing to shore up
economic growth. The yuan swoon hit China's stock market
and pressured the Philippine peso, Indian rupee,
Indonesian rupiah, Korean won and Thai baht
.
Meanwhile, Premier Li Qiang on Sunday said China will carefully
study issues of market access and cross-border data flows and
will soon issue new regulations in these areas.
"We cordially welcome companies from all countries to
invest in China and deepen their foothold in China," Li told an
audience of global CEOs and Chinese policymakers.
Profit taking on Friday capped the advances of stock indexes
on Wall Street and in Europe, a day after they notched all-time
highs. The S&P 500 closed 0.14% lower and the Nasdaq
rose a similar amount.
Switzerland's surprise rate cut on Thursday cemented the
notion that, BOJ aside, developed country central banks would be
easing interest rates soon.
That thinking obviously includes the Fed, which on Wednesday
left the fed funds rate alone at 5.25% to 5.50% but indicated it
was still prepared to lower rates by 75 basis points this year,
despite a worrying uptick in U.S. inflation and economic growth
solid enough perhaps to dodge a soft landing.
Many markets in Europe and in the U.S. will be closed on
Friday, for Good Friday. As it happens, since it's not a U.S.
pubic holiday, the most important data of the week, the February
personal consumption expenditures inflation index, lands when
markets are closed. But Asia will be the first markets to trade
on it the following Monday.
Meanwhile there is not as much incentive to buy during a
holiday-shortened week. China's stock exchanges are also closed
but Japan's are open.
Here are key developments that could provide more direction
to markets in the coming week:
- Malaysia CPI (Feb)
- Singapore CPI (Feb)
- Japan revised leading indicators (Jan)
- Japan services PPI (Feb)