Nov 14 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian
markets.
An uptick in U.S. consumer price inflation last month that
was in line with forecasts propped up Wall Street indexes on
Wednesday, and lifted the dollar close to levels against the yen
that had been concerning to the Bank of Japan.
The CPI report, especially an increase in the 12-month rate,
hardened thinking that while the Fed had justification to ease
another 25 basis points at its December meeting, 2025 could see
it rethink the pace of easing if inflation readings keep moving
in the wrong direction. After all, it has approved a full
percentage point of reductions since September.
Markets could get insight into how the Fed will process
October's fourth straight 0.2% CPI increase -- and the
year-on-year inflation rise to 2.6% from 2.4% in September --
when Fed Chair Jerome Powell delivers a speech on the economic
outlook on Thursday at 3:00 p.m. EST (1700 GMT), which will be
followed by a question and answer session.
By then, the Fed chief will have also had time to digest the
October producer prices report that comes out on Thursday
morning and feeds more directly into the central bank's
preferred inflation indicator, the personal consumption
expenditures price index that arrives later in the month.
Meanwhile, bitcoin vaulted above $93,000 and crypto
currencies still looked like the trade of the week, continuing
to outshine other asset classes.
U.S. President-elect Donald Trump embraced digital assets
during his campaign, promising to make the United States the
"crypto capital of the planet" and to accumulate a national
stockpile of bitcoin.
It was last up 4.08% at $91,910, marking a 32% rise since
the Nov. 5 election. Smaller peer ether has risen 37%
since election day, while dogecoin, an alternative,
volatile token promoted by billionaire Trump-ally Elon Musk was
up more than 150%.
The dollar rose to 155.62 yen, its highest since
July 24 and a level that many market participants consider a
trigger point for verbal intervention by Japanese authorities.
At this point it looks like prospects for the Fed to ease up
on its easing is a more prominent factor than whatever the
timetable will be for the Bank of Japan's decision to hike
rates. A jump in Japan's October wholesale inflation reported
Wednesday does not make that call any easier.
Until recently Japan faced a greater risk of deflation than
inflation. The BOJ ended negative rates in March and its
Governor Kazuo Ueda has stressed it is ready to raise them
again, having last done so in July because of inflation and the
risk of a weak yen.
The euro fell to its lowest in almost a year against
the dollar, and euro/yen was almost flat at 164.33.
Senior U.S. officials said on Wednesday that U.S. President
Joe Biden will meet Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping in Peru for
likely the final time on Saturday, as Beijing prepares for a
potentially more confrontational period with Washington under
Trump.
Worries of Trump stacking his administration with China
hardliners like Florida Senator Marco Rubio - who has now been
tapped to become secretary of state, and Representative Mike
Waltz - who was picked for national security adviser - have
weighed on Chinese markets, although the blue chip CSI 300
and Shanghai Composite managed firmer closes
on Wednesday.
The offshore yuan CNH= was little changed at 7.243 per
dollar, after the People's Bank of China pulled the currency off
a three-month low versus the dollar by setting a
firmer-than-expected official guidance for the exchange rate,
signaling growing discomfort over the currency's recent rapid
decline.
Here are key developments that could provide more direction
to markets on Thursday:
- New Zealand Manufacturing PMI (Oct)
- Japan GDP (Q3)
- China industrial output (Oct)
- Indonesia trade balance (Oct)
- US Producer Price Index (Oct)
- Fed Chairman Powell's speech
(Editing by Deepa Babington)