A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Tom
Westbrook
A phone call between Donald Trump and his Russian
counterpart Vladimir Putin is on markets' radar this morning as
the U.S. pushes for a ceasefire and peace deal in Ukraine -
ahead of a slew of central bank meetings later in the week.
The leaders' conversation takes place in a moment of calm
for traders, with stocks stabilising and progress to peace
likely to send European gas prices down and the euro higher.
Putin's demands seem familiar, but Trump said they would be
talking about land, power plants and "dividing up certain
assets" and that he thinks agreement is possible.
The European Union's foreign policy chief, Kaja Kallas, said
on Monday the conditions demanded by Russia to agree to a
ceasefire showed Moscow does not really want peace.
Trade in the Asia session was driven by another burst of
enthusiasm for China, which has been an unlikely beneficiary of
Trump's rattling of U.S. markets and growth expectations.
The latest push came from the release of another
surprisingly weak U.S. retail sales report, and the White House
confirming reciprocal tariffs will come into effect on April 2 -
putting pressure on the dollar and hoisting gold.
At the same time China has announced some childcare
subsidies and other consumer-friendly measures, while data on
Monday showed small signs of a pickup in retail spending.
The Hang Seng notched a three-year peak and its
almost 23% rise for the year so far is easily the largest of any
major market.
Gains were broad with miners, automakers, tech and retail
stocks higher. The Shenzhen shares of electric-vehicle maker
BYD leapt to a record as the company unveiled a new
platform it says can recharge electric cars as quickly as
pumping gas.
The New Zealand dollar was also at three-month
highs with short-sellers seemingly spooked by New Zealand's
exposure to China's consumers via dairy exports.
On investors' radar will be Nvidia's ( NVDA ) annual
software developer conference, where CEO Jensen Huang, who will
be delivering the keynote address on Tuesday, is expected to
defend his nearly $3 trillion chip company's dominance as
pressure mounts on its biggest customers to rein in the costs of
artificial intelligence.
At the conference this week, Nvidia ( NVDA ) is also expected to
reveal details of a chip system called Vera Rubin, the successor
to its Blackwell chips.
Central bank meetings in Japan, the U.S., Britain, Sweden
and Switzerland round out the week.
Key developments that could influence markets on Tuesday:
-Trump-Putin phone call
-German ZEW surveys