A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from
Satoshi Sugiyama
For all the anticipation, Wednesday's U.S. CPI data was largely
in line with expectations, perhaps even a little anticlimactic.
Coupled with softer-than-expected July nonfarm payrolls, it has
dampened money-market bets on a September Federal Reserve rate
hike.
In contrast, Thursday's Japanese wholesale inflation data
reinforced expectations for a September rate hike by the Bank of
Japan.
The 7.2% year-on-year rise in July suggested that price
pressures remain alive and resilient, driven in part by strong
demand induced by the AI boom and higher raw-material costs from
the Middle East war.
Asian stocks were mostly firm in the morning session, with South
Korean shares hitting their highest levels in three weeks on
chip stocks.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
was up nearly 1%, while Japan's Nikkei
rose 1.61% as of the midday recess.
In early European trades, the pan-region Euro Stoxx 50
futures rose 0.35%, German DAX futures were up
0.26% and FTSE futures edged 0.27% higher.
Oil prices fell after forecasters scaled back this year's global
demand outlook, citing the broader fallout from the Middle East
war.
United States and Iran remained deadlocked over efforts to end
the conflict, with conflicting claims about control over the
vital Strait of Hormuz.
U.S. crude shed 1.3% to $82.19 a barrel and Brent
eased to $87.95 per barrel, down 1.16%.
In Sydney, Reserve Bank of Australia Assistant Governor
Christopher Kent warned of the risk of further policy tightening
at a Reuters NEXT Newsmaker event, saying inflation threats
remain on the upside and "a lot of things" would need to go
right to avert another rate hike.
Key developments that could influence markets on Thursday:
- UK April-June quarter, June GDP
- Euro zone, UK June industrial production
- U.S. weekly jobless claims