A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Rae
Wee.
Global stocks caught some much-needed relief on Friday after
a week of heavy battering, momentarily putting aside worries
over trade wars when top U.S. Senate Democrat Chuck Schumer
signalled his party would provide the votes to avert a
government shutdown.
Traders reacted quickly to send stock futures higher: Nasdaq
futures jumped more than 1% while S&P 500 futures
climbed 0.8%, relatively big moves for Asian hours.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
rose 1%.
Europe similarly looked set for a strong opening, with
EUROSTOXX 50 futures gaining 0.3% and DAX futures
tacking on 0.5%.
The market's touchiness towards news that had rarely
stirred much reaction in the past suggested just how jittery
investors had become.
"If you're already in a haunted house and you're already
rattled, then every little mouse will scare you," said Vishnu
Varathan, Mizuho's head of macro research for Asia ex-Japan.
In recent years markets have been largely unfazed by
headlines surrounding U.S. government shutdowns, given that
lawmakers routinely pass temporary spending bills to keep the
government operating while they finish their work.
But going into the week's end, global markets were reeling
over fears of an impending U.S. recession and an escalating
global trade war.
Traders in London will wake up to the release of UK growth
estimates for January due early in Europe's day. Expectations
are for the economy to have grown 0.1% on a monthly basis, a
slight slowdown from December's 0.4%.
It's worth noting that Britain's relatively measured
approach to U.S. trade ructions and the largely balanced trade
position between the two have benefited the pound, which was on
track for a second straight weekly gain.
Over in the U.S., the University of Michigan Surveys of
Consumers will be the key item to watch on Friday, given how
U.S. President Donald Trump's tariff salvos are rattling
businesses and consumers alike.
Meanwhile, Chinese equities have emerged as an unlikely
sanctuary for global investors seeking shelter from all the
uncertainty in the United States.
Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index is up 17% since Trump
returned to the White House in January, compared with a drop of
about 9% in the S&P 500.
Stocks in mainland China and Hong Kong surged again on
Friday, led by consumer shares, after a northern Chinese city
announced plans to boost birth rates. Investors are also
awaiting a press conference next Monday by Chinese officials
from the top planning agency and elsewhere for additional
measures to enhance domestic consumption.
Key developments that could influence markets on Friday:
- UK GDP estimate (January)
- UK industrial output (January)
- U.S. University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers (March)