A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from
Gregor Stuart Hunter
Oil is back on the boil and equity markets are struggling to
find a floor after this week's selloff triggered by fresh blows
to the ceasefire in the Middle East. The U.S. has launched new
strikes against multiple targets in Iran, with President Donald
Trump vowing even more attacks if no peace deal is secured.
Brent crude rose 1.7% to $94.64 after Iran's Islamic
Revolutionary Guard Corps said on Thursday that they had
retaliated against U.S. air bases in Kuwait and Bahrain, and
threatened to target any vessel passing through the Strait of
Hormuz.
Equities across the region slid, with MSCI's broadest index
of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan down 1.3%
with Taiwanese and Korean shares leading declines as AI
chipmakers fluctuated between gains and losses.
Some analysts have attributed the recent tech slump to
investor repositioning ahead of the upcoming SpaceX share
offering, which Reuters reported has drawn more than $250
billion of investor demand for what stands to be the
largest-ever IPO.
Oracle also rattled sentiment, unveiling spending
plans far beyond expectations and fuelling debt concerns -
sending its shares plunging 10% in after-hours trade.
The euro edged up 0.1% to $1.1544 against the U.S.
dollar ahead of the European Central Bank's June monetary policy
announcement later on Thursday, where it is widely expected to
hike rates.
The single currency held gains even as the flare-up in the
Iran conflict kept the U.S. dollar index holding firmly
at its strongest levels since ceasefire talks with Tehran began
in early April. Wednesday's hot U.S. inflation printhas nudged
market bets toward an October rate hike, according to CME's
FedWatch tool, though expectations remain finely balanced.
The yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond was up 1.4 basis
points at 4.552%.
U.S. equity futures found tentative footing, with S&P 500
e-mini futures up 0.2% and on track to snap a two-day
losing streak. In early European deals, pan-region futures
slumped 0.8%, German DAX futures were off 0.6%
and FTSE futures fell 0.8%.
Key developments that could influence markets on Thursday:
Economic events:
Germany: Current account balance for April
Euro Zone: ECB monetary policy decision for June and press
conference
U.S.: PPI for May
Debt auctions
UK: 3-year government debt