* Trump gives Iran 48-hour ultimatum to reopen Hormuz
* Trump threatens to obliterate Iranian power plants
* Iran says to respond with attacks on Gulf energy,
desalination facilities
* Oil closed near 4-year high on Friday
(Updates with settlement prices)
LONDON/SINGAPORE, March 22 (Reuters) - Oil prices look
set to rise further on Monday, having closed before the weekend
at their highest in nearly four years, after U.S. and Iranian
threats to target energy facilities, analysts said on Sunday.
U.S. President Donald Trump on Saturday threatened to
"obliterate" Iran's power plants if Tehran did not fully reopen
the Strait of Hormuz within 48 hours, a significant escalation
barely a day after he talked about "winding down" the war, now
in its fourth week.
Iran warned on Sunday it would attack U.S.-linked
infrastructure, including energy and desalination facilities in
the Gulf, if Trump carried out his threat.
On Friday, Brent futures for May settled up 3.26% at
$112.19 a barrel, the highest since July 2022.
"President Trump's threat has now placed a 48-hour ticking
time bomb of elevated uncertainty over markets," said IG market
analyst Tony Sycamore. If the ultimatum is not walked back, oil
prices will spike on Monday, he said.
"It clearly means more escalation which means higher oil
prices. Some are incorrectly thinking, however, that Iran may
cave," said Amrita Sen, founder of Energy Aspects. "Trump is
trying to show he can out-escalate and that way ends in scorched
earth for Gulf infrastructure."
Iran has attacked ports and refineries in Saudi Arabia,
Kuwait, Bahrain, the UAE and Qatar in retaliation for attacks on
its infrastructure. The closure of Hormuz resulted in a loss of
a full four days of global supply - or some 440 million barrels
- during the 22 days of the war so far.
Tehran has so far refrained from attacking large
desalination plants in Saudi and the UAE, which are responsible
for the water supply for millions of people.
Large scale damage to those facilities could make some
cities in the Gulf uninhabitable within weeks and force mass
evacuations and cascading power failures, according to the
Atlantic Council.
Brent gained about 8.8% last week, while the front-month WTI
settled down around 0.4% compared with last Friday's close.
WTI's discount to Brent hit its widest in 11 years on Wednesday.
Restoring supplies from the Middle East Gulf could take up
to six months, International Energy Agency chief Fatih Birol
told the Financial Times on Friday.
The Trump administration is considering plans to occupy or
blockade Iran's Kharg Island to pressure Iran to reopen the
Strait of Hormuz, Axios reported on Friday.