financetom
Business
financetom
/
Business
/
Aerospace analysts are guardedly hopeful about Boeing's path forward
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Aerospace analysts are guardedly hopeful about Boeing's path forward
Jan 29, 2025 3:40 PM

SEATTLE - CEO Kelly Ortberg took over at Boeing ( BA ) knowing that the company was in trouble. Those troubles added up to an $11.8 billion loss last year, the company reported on Tuesday.

However, during its earnings call and interviews with Reuters and other news outlets, Ortberg indicated the worst is behind Boeing ( BA ). He said its commercial airplane division is fixing lingering production problems and expects to ramp up production of its most popular jet, the 737 MAX, to 38 per month later this year, with further increases to follow, pending federal regulators' approval.

A hopeful "show-me" was the reaction from half a dozen industry analysts. 

There are reasons for optimism, said Gautam Khanna, an aerospace analyst with TD Cowen. Since Ortberg took the reins in early August, Boeing ( BA ) appears to be taking a more deliberate approach to solving production problems by slowing down now in order to avoid getting derailed when output speeds up later.

As of Tuesday, Boeing ( BA ) had delivered 33 737 MAX jets in January, company CFO Brian West said on the earnings call. That was well above its pace in prior months. 

Boeing's ( BA ) stock is up 2.8% since Ortberg started on Aug. 8. It jumped after Boeing ( BA ) released earnings results, but gave back some gains on Wednesday.

Even if Ortberg delivers on the goals he laid out, Khanna said, whatever he says now is haunted by his predecessors' bullish assurances that proved hollow: James McNerney on 787 delays and cost overruns; Dennis Muilenburg and the 737 MAX crashes; and David Calhoun on supply chain and production quality problems. 

"Everyone's scarred from the history," he said. 

SKEPTICAL SUPPLIERS

Suppliers, especially, have been hurt by investing for rate increases that did not come through. Many are wary of investing now and ending up financially vulnerable. 

"A lot of people are holding on to their funds," Independent Forge president Andrew Flores said. The company in Orange County, California, supplies aluminum parts for the 737 MAX. 

"I see light at the end of the tunnel, but it's a long tunnel," he said. 

For the business to improve, suppliers need to trust that Boeing ( BA ) will make good on ramping up production and invest in capacity.

"The guys in the middle want to trust (Ortberg), because if Boeing ( BA ) improves, their business improves," said Phil Gibbs, an analyst with KeyBanc Capital Markets. 

A problem for Ortberg: at the moment, suppliers are making their own decisions, the head of a Boeing ( BA ) supplier said. He spoke on the condition of anonymity out of concern of retribution. 

After a 53-day strike shut down almost all Boeing ( BA ) airplane production last year, "it's easy to be optimistic in a relative sense: The strike is over and production is ramping up," said Richard Aboulafia, an analyst with AeroDynamic Advisory.

However, increasing production "is not the same as returning the company to a positive strategic direction," Aboulafia said. He pointed to management-employee relations during Ortberg's brief tenure.  

Boeing ( BA ) endured "a 53-day strike that should have been settled in 53 hours," and Boeing ( BA ) engineers' union is investigating allegations that the company is using the reductions to move work to non-union areas, Aboulafia said. 

Ultimately, "the path (to increase jetliner production) is there, and the market is with them," Aboulafia said. "The market wants its jets."

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Marathon Petroleum posts lower second-quarter profit
Marathon Petroleum posts lower second-quarter profit
Aug 6, 2024
Aug 6 (Reuters) - Top U.S. refiner Marathon Petroleum ( MPC ) posted lower second-quarter profit on Tuesday, as refining margins weighed on earnings. The company posted net income of $1.5 billion, or $4.33 per share, for the three months ended June 30, compared to the $2.23 billion, or $5.32 per share, a year earlier. ...
Owens Corning Q2 Adjusted Earnings, Net Sales Rise
Owens Corning Q2 Adjusted Earnings, Net Sales Rise
Aug 6, 2024
06:40 AM EDT, 08/06/2024 (MT Newswires) -- Owens Corning ( OC ) reported Q2 adjusted earnings Tuesday of $ 4.64 per diluted share, up from $4.25 a year earlier. Analysts polled by Capital IQ expected $4.35. Net sales for the quarter ended June 30 were $2.79 billion, up from $2.56 billion a year earlier. Analysts surveyed by Capital IQ expected...
Avocado goldrush links US companies with Mexico's deforestation disaster
Avocado goldrush links US companies with Mexico's deforestation disaster
Aug 6, 2024
URUAPAN, Mexico (Reuters) - On a sweltering July afternoon, two large yellow bulldozers dug into the brown soil at the bottom of a lush avocado orchard near the small town of Madero, located in central Mexico's Michoacan state. Drone footage recorded by Reuters captured the earth movers hollowing the ground, in what Mexican environmental group Guardian Forestal - which collaborates...
Eurozone Retail Trade Weakness Continues in June as Reasons for Concern Emerge, Says ING
Eurozone Retail Trade Weakness Continues in June as Reasons for Concern Emerge, Says ING
Aug 6, 2024
06:40 AM EDT, 08/06/2024 (MT Newswires) -- The eurozone retail sector hasn't moved in line with the economic cycle for years now, said ING. A long retail recession followed a post-pandemic boom and a recovery has been expected for some time, wrote the bank in a note to clients. While indeed it looks like a bottom in retail activity has...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved