By Sneha S K and Puyaan Singh
Sept 2 (Reuters) -
Drug developers are increasing adoption of AI technologies
for discovery and safety testing to get faster and cheaper
results, in line with an FDA push to reduce animal testing in
the near future.
Within the next three to five years, using AI and cutting
back on animal testing could reduce timelines and costs by at
least half, according to 11 different experts from across
contract research firms, biotech companies and brokerages.
Drug development software maker Certara ( CERT ), and
biotechs such as Schrodinger and Recursion
Pharmaceuticals ( RXRX ) are already using AI to predict how
experimental drugs might be absorbed, distributed, or trigger
toxic side effects.
"We are getting to the point where we don't actually need to
do that (animal testing) anymore," said Patrick Smith, president
of drug development solutions at Certara ( CERT ), which works with
companies developing infectious diseases drugs such as
monoclonal antibodies for hepatitis B.
Recursion said its AI-based drug discovery platform took
just 18 months to move a molecule into clinical testing as a
cancer drug candidate, far faster than the industry average of
42 months.
Analysts at TD Cowen and Jefferies expect these AI-driven
approaches to cut costs and timelines by more than half, from
current estimates of up to 15 years and $2 billion needed to
bring a drug to market.
The shift also aligns with the FDA's vision of approaches
such as AI-driven technologies, human cell models and
computational models becoming the new standard, as the agency
plans to make animal studies the exception for pre-clinical
safety and toxicity testing in three to five years.
The new approaches are expected to ultimately lead to lower
drug prices as well, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration had
said in its April statement that outlined a road map for
companies to reduce reliance on animal testing, especially for
monoclonal antibody drugs.
Still, industry experts have said the new methods are
unlikely to fully replace animal testing.
Under current FDA requirements for monoclonal antibodies,
companies conduct studies in animals to test for any harmful
effects of a drug. These studies typically take between one to
six months, and require about 144 non-human primates on average,
at a cost of $50,000 each, according to the agency.
NEW APPROACH
Charles River, one of the world's largest research
contractors, is among the industry mainstays investing in AI and
the so-called "new approach methodologies".
These NAMs use AI, computer-based modeling and machine
learning as well as human-based models such as organs-on-chips
to predict how a drug might work in the body. An organ-on-a-chip
is a small device lined with living human cells that replicate
key functions of an organ.
Charles River's NAM portfolio already generates about $200
million in annual revenue.
SMALLER PLAYERS STEPPING IN
InSphero is testing safety and efficacy in 3D liver models -
where lab-grown liver microtissues help replicate the functions
of the organ.
New York-based Schrodinger combines physics-based
simulations with AI to predict drug toxicology.
But industry experts say in the near future, companies will
use a hybrid approach, reducing animal testing and supplementing
with data from these new methods.
"I don't think we'll get to a point immediately, in the near
term where all of a sudden, animal testing is gone entirely,"
said Brendan Smith, a life sciences and biotech analyst at TD
Cowen.