* South Asia-Europe rates up 70% since start of Iran war
- Freightos ( CRGO )
* More than 100 container ships blocked in Strait of
Hormuz
* Some Indian generic drugmakers switching from sea
freight to air, industry expert says
By Allison Lampert and Lisa Baertlein
March 13 (Reuters) - Air freight rates have risen by as
much as 70% on some routes since the start of the U.S.-Israeli
war on Iran, data shows, as the conflict limits flights, blocks
some ocean shipments and pushes up jet fuel costs.
Rates on routes between South Asia and Europe have been the
most affected by Middle Eastern airspace closures and security
issues, industry experts said, after the conflict has stranded
more than 100 container ships in the area around the critical
Strait of Hormuz oil export corridor.
Products like inexpensive generic medicines from India
destined for the European Union, Africa and some Arab countries
like Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates typically move on
container ships through the strait, said pharmaceutical supply
chain expert Prashant Yadav.
"The main shift I've heard about involves companies moving
generic medicines from ocean freight to air cargo," said Yadav,
a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations.
The shift to air cargo is significant because air freight
handles about one-third of global trade by value, making rate
spikes a potential inflationary pressure on goods ranging from
fresh food to pharmaceuticals and electronics.
"Customers are shifting freight from ocean to air, however
it is extremely expensive - typically 5x to 10x higher - and
those costs are climbing as capacity tightens," said Steve
Blough, chief supply chain strategist at logistics software firm
Infios. "More often, shippers are moving a limited quantity by
air to bridge a gap."
JET FUEL PRICE DOUBLES
The jet fuel price has doubled since the start of the conflict,
and Danish container shipping giant Maersk said
this week its own air cargo service is now applying fuel
surcharges and war risk levies.
The airspace closures have also cut cargo capacity in
freighters and passenger planes as airlines take longer routes
to avoid the conflict zone, further pressuring rates.
Dubai and Doha are normally among the world's busiest air
cargo hubs, but operations at those airports have been severely
limited by the Middle Eastern conflict.
Niall van de Wouw, chief air freight officer at
transportation pricing platform Xeneta, attributed higher air
cargo rates to a "dramatic reduction" in capacity at key Middle
East transshipment hubs more than higher fuel prices.
Ronald Lam, the CEO of Hong Kong's Cathay Pacific Airways ( CPCAF )
, said many of its freighter flights to Europe normally
stop in Dubai to refuel and pick up more cargo.
"But because of the situation in Dubai, we're now skipping
that stopover and we are flying direct from Hong Kong to Europe
with some payload restriction, because we couldn't uplift fuel
in between," he said on an earnings call on Wednesday.
According to an air freight index from freight booking and
payments platform Freightos ( CRGO ), off-contract spot rates
from South Asia to Europe have soared 70% to $4.37 per kg from
$2.57 per kg just before the war began. South Asia-North America
rates are up 58% to $6.41 per kg, and Europe-Middle East rates
have risen 55% to $2.79 per kg. A significant share of air cargo
exports from South Asia usually travels through Gulf hubs and
some has had to reroute through East Asia, said Judah Levine,
Freightos' ( CRGO ) head of research.
"That being said, we have seen the price increases on many
of these lanes slow, level off or even decline slightly in the
last couple days," he said.
"These trends may reflect Asian and European carriers adding
capacity to these long-haul lanes to make up for the missing
Gulf capacity, and they may also reflect some of the Gulf
carriers - most importantly Emirates - having restarted
operations and increasing the number of flights that are now
leaving and arriving at these important Gulf hubs."