* Air taxi developers turn to defense market due to delays
certifying civil versions
* Share prices of largest developers have fallen by more
than 50% in last year
* Conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East have boosted
interest in uncrewed aircraft
By Shivansh Tiwary and Dan Catchpole
July 31 (Reuters) - Aerospace startups that have long
promised to develop electric air taxis are increasingly focusing
on a market with fewer regulatory hurdles and more money to
spend: the military.
At last week's Farnborough Airshow, several of the biggest
companies vying to get an electric vertical take-off and landing
aircraft (eVTOL) to market talked up new efforts to develop
military versions of their aircraft, a pivot from the
Jetsons-style future with air taxis zipping commuters around
that they had pitched to investors.
Turning that vision into commercial reality is taking longer
and costing more than companies and investors expected.
In the meantime, wars in Ukraine and the Middle East have
increased military demand for uncrewed aircraft that do not need
a runway, are cheaper to deploy than traditional models and can
perform multiple types of missions, including supply,
surveillance and medical evacuations.
"Investors are excited about defense, because the industry is
expanding rapidly and products can be fielded without the
lengthy civil regulatory process," Archer Aviation ( ACHR ) CEO
Adam Goldstein said at Farnborough.
"The time to field can be much shorter, and if you win a program
there is known money at the end of the contract - very different
from a new product category like (a civil) eVTOL," he said.
During the air show, Archer unveiled an unmanned hybrid-electric
aircraft capable of combat and logistical missions developed
with Anduril.
Vertical Aerospace's tiltrotor prototype completed a
transition flight at Farnborough, taking off with the rotors
pointing like a helicopter. In the air, the rotors tilted
forward and the aircraft flew like an airplane.
However, just before the show, the UK-based company had again
pushed back its goal for certification and entry into service
for its Valo aircraft by another year to 2029. As recently as
three years ago, its target was 2025.
Like its competitors, Vertical Aerospace's share price has
dropped more than 50% in the past year.
"This is a volatile and risky sector, since it's contingent on
(regulatory) certification and contingent on developing and
integrating a technology that is new and that is innovative,"
said Andres Sheppard, a senior investment analyst at Cantor
Fitzgerald.
"There are some sets of investors who are becoming perhaps a
little bit less patient," he said.
Sheppard said he was still confident that eVTOLs will come to
market by the end of the decade, but in the meantime, "these
companies have to fortify their balance sheets."
While competitors are pivoting, Beta Technologies ( BETA ) has
been developing military and civil versions of its Alia eVTOL
for several years. The unmanned military version of Alia, the
MV250, was on display at the show.
"Beta has focused on making sure that our defense product is
identical to our commercial product," Beta CEO Kyle Clark said
in an interview during the air show. "So, the motors, the
rotors, the flight controllers, all the pieces in it are the
same between the two products."
The company has simultaneously developed the two products, as
well as an electric conventional take-off and landing (CTOL)
Alia model, as a way to reduce costs and development time.
"That's when you get that strategic advantage of doing both
together, and that becomes an accelerant, not a drag or a
distraction, but an accelerant to our commercial product," he
said.
At the show, Beta announced that UK regional airline Loganair
had placed five provisional orders, plus options for five more,
for the CTOL version, with commercial service beginning in 2029.
Sheppard said he expected the CTOL version to become the first
commercial electric aircraft certified by the U.S. Federal
Aviation Administration as soon as mid-2027, followed by the
eVTOL version in 2028.