PARIS, Dec 2 (Reuters) - Airbus deliveries
accelerated sharply to more than 80 aircraft in November as the
planemaker recovers from a summer lull and sets its sights on
end-year targets that had previously seemed out of reach,
industry sources said.
Airbus is officially targeting "around 770" 2024 deliveries.
Few analysts expect it to reach that headline figure after
supply snags, but many say the wording gives it flexibility to
deliver as few as 750 jets, which looks increasingly feasible.
After a mid-year profit warning driven in part by a
shortfall in engine supplies, deliveries spiked higher in
November after engine maker CFM and Airbus reached a deal over
short-term engine supplies, first reported by Reuters last week.
Industry sources said deliveries jumped at least 25% in
November from the same month last year to top the 80 mark,
bringing deliveries so far this year to 640 jets and leaving
some 110 to go. In December last year, Airbus delivered 112
jets.
If confirmed, it would be the highest November tally since
2018 when Airbus delivered 89 jets.
Jefferies analyst Chloe Lemarie predicted 85 deliveries
in November. "While the (full-year) 770 may now be out of reach,
we still see...765 as achievable," she said in a note to
investors.
Others cautioned Airbus would need to keep up strong
momentum to reach its end-year target for deliveries, which are
closely related to revenues and cash generation.
"Last week looks to be the change needed to get close to
their target," said Rob Morris, head of global consultancy at
UK-based Cirium Ascend.
"The only question I have now is: have they rinsed their
stock or can they keep averaging four per day for the next 30
days?"
SUPPLY PENDULUM
Jet engine maker CFM, co-owned by GE Aerospace and
Safran, agreed last month to divert some engines to
Airbus as the planemaker tries to catch up on previous
delivery delays, Reuters reported last week.
The agreement follows tense negotiations over the
allocation of engines between new assembly lines and the repair
shops where airlines carry out maintenance to keep existing
planes flying.
Speaking to AFP in Belgium last week, Safran CEO Olivier
Andries confirmed that CFM had prioritised Airbus over airlines
on a temporary basis to feed the Airbus production lines with
engines in time to secure extra aircraft deliveries in 2024.
The pendulum is expected to swing back towards the
aftermarket to coincide with January, when Airbus slows down.
Some analysts have voiced concerns that the switch in
engines could dent margins for the engine companies, since
engine makers make more of their income out of high-margin
activities in the aftermarket than in equipping new aircraft.
But Bernstein analyst Douglas Harned said in a note that
CFM could flip engine supplies to Airbus planned for November
and December in order to help the planemaker prepare for a busy
end to the year while meeting its own targets for airline sales.
CFM has said it is working both to meet demand from
customers and to maximise fleet utilisation for airlines.