LONDON, July 3 (Reuters) - Europe's largest asset
manager has raised concerns that a boom in dollar-backed
stablecoins in the wake of the United States' GENIUS Act could
cause a major shift in money flows that destabilises the global
payment system.
The U.S. Senate passed the GENIUS Act a bill last month to
create a regulatory framework for the U.S.-dollar-pegged
cryptotokens.
It is expected to be passed by the House of Representatives
and approved by President Donald Trump, leaving other countries
worried about a wave of so-called 'dollarization' of economies
if their own populations buy them.
"It could be genius, or it could be evil," Amundi Asset
Management's chief investment officer Vincent Mortier told
Reuters, voicing his concerns about the U.S. act.
JPMorgan ( JPM ) expects the amount of stablecoins in circulation to
roughly double to $500 billion in the next few years, although
some estimates have put it as high as $2 trillion.
As stablecoins need be pegged to the dollar under the U.S.
act, it will trigger buying of U.S. Treasury bonds. That has its
benefits for the U.S. as it grapples with a gaping budget
deficit, but could also pose problems for the U.S. and other
countries.
"In doing so you create an alternative to the U.S. dollar
and that could lead to more weakening of the dollar," Mortier
said. "Because if a country is pushing a stablecoin, it could be
perceived as pushing the message that the dollar is not that
strong."
Currently, 98% of all stablecoins are pegged to the dollar,
but more than 80% of stablecoin transactions happen outside the
United States.
Italy's finance minister, Giancarlo Giorgetti, warned in
April that the U.S. stablecoin policies presented an "even more
dangerous" threat to European financial stability than Trump's
trade war.
His argument was that access to dollars without needing a
U.S. bank account would be attractive to millions of people and
could undermine countries' monetary sovereignty.
The Bank for International Settlements issued a similar
warning on the risks posed by stablecoins, noting their
potential to undermine monetary sovereignty, transparency issues
and the risk of capital flight from emerging economies.
Mortier, who oversees the 2 trillion euros ($2.36 trillion)
of assets Amundi manages - none of which are in crypto - said he
still had not fully made up his mind about stablecoins, but the
worry was that a mass uptake could impact financial stability.
As well as the dollarization issue, they would become
"quasi-banks" he said, as people will deposit money in a coin
assuming they can take it out again whenever they want. They
will also be used as a direct means of payment.
"It could potentially destabilise the global payment
system," he said. "I'm not so sure it's a good idea".
($1 = 0.8483 euros)