financetom
Business
financetom
/
Business
/
Analysis-European results-day share volatility emboldens longer-term investors
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Analysis-European results-day share volatility emboldens longer-term investors
Feb 19, 2025 7:23 AM

LONDON (Reuters) - Unusually high volatility in the shares of European companies around their earnings days has prompted a growing number of typically cautious longer-term investors to jump on big price swings.

Volatility in European shares on results days has reached a near-record high, Bank of America data shows, with the fourth-quarter earnings season only around half complete.

Tom Lemaigre, portfolio manager on the European Equities Team at Janus Henderson Investors, was among the long-term investors Reuters spoke to who have found opportunities in the current volatility.

"If you have something that looks incredibly oversold, I can buy more, and if something looks overbought, I can profit-take. It allows me to be tactical," said Lemaigre, who said he co-manages around 7.5 billion euros ($7.8 billion) in assets.

"I always want to be doing this alongside taking a longer-term view. If something falls 20% in one day and I've got a three-year time horizon then it can be seen as an opportunity to potentially add or start a position," he said.

A Reuters analysis in 2024 found hedge funds taking a wide range of trading approaches and a changing market structure were behind the trend that has spurred single-stock volatility to multi-year highs. BofA's most recent data shows that companies that missed fourth-quarter expectations have recorded a median one-day underperformance of 2.6%, the biggest since the bank's records began in 2012. Those beating on earnings per share have recorded a median outperformance of 1.7%, the second strongest on record. Barry Glavin, head of equity platform at Amundi, Europe's largest asset manager, also said his team has noticed the trend of outsized reactions to results. "As disciplined long-term investors who are quite price sensitive, if we get an opportunity to buy a stock at a lower price and our investment thesis is unchanged, we'll take it," he said.

BIG MOVES, BOTH WAYS

European companies' quarterly reports have so far proved generally rosy, as expected. Shares of French luxury giant Richemont recorded their biggest daily jump in 17 years on January 16, surging 16.4% after results beat expectations.

On their respective results days, shares in Dutch payments firm Adyen rose 14.4% and Germany's Infineon jumped by more than 10%.

Among the companies that saw their share price fall sharply, Swiss lender UBS dropped by 7% on its results day, cognac maker Remy Cointreau lost 7.4%, Randstad, the world's largest employment agency, fell 6.5%, and Europe's largest travel operator Tui slid more than 10%.

LONG-TERM VIEW; SHORT-TERM OPPORTUNITIES

Amundi's Glavin said that while volatility may be uncomfortable, it can offer active long-term managers an opportunity to add value.

Over at RBC BlueBay Asset Management, senior portfolio manager and head of European Equities David Lambert said his team would buy shares in an appropriately valued business after its results if it sees an outsized move on an unchanged outlook.

"We would trade around those - not aggressively - but there have been more opportunities more recently given some of the volatility," said Lambert, who manages around C$7 billion ($4.9 billion) in assets. "Long term you have to be nimble and have the ability and the agility to add and to take away from positions if the market moves aggressively...you might have a move to the upside, which can be hard to rationalise sometimes, so why not lock in some of that?"

($1 = 0.9570 euros)

($1 = 1.4201 Canadian dollars)

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Market Chatter: Walmart Opposes New York's Panic Button Mandate for Retail Stores
Market Chatter: Walmart Opposes New York's Panic Button Mandate for Retail Stores
Jun 10, 2024
04:35 AM EDT, 06/10/2024 (MT Newswires) -- Walmart ( WMT ) opposes a New York law requiring panic buttons in stores to protect retail workers because of the likelihood of false alarms, Reuters reported Saturday, citing Dan Bartlett, the company's executive vice president of corporate affairs. Eight out of 10 times somebody thinks something's going on, there's actually not, Bartlett...
Market Chatter: Southwest Airlines Shares Gain Over 5% Pre-Bell After Report Elliott Acquired Nearly $2 Billion Stake
Market Chatter: Southwest Airlines Shares Gain Over 5% Pre-Bell After Report Elliott Acquired Nearly $2 Billion Stake
Jun 10, 2024
04:40 AM EDT, 06/10/2024 (MT Newswires) -- Southwest Airlines Company ( LUV ) shares were 5.4% higher Monday premarket after The Wall Street Journal reported Sunday, citing people familiar with the matter, that activist investor Elliott Investment Management acquired a nearly $2 billion stake in the carrier. Elliott is planning to push for changes in order to address the airline's...
Euro slides to one-month low after Macron calls snap French election
Euro slides to one-month low after Macron calls snap French election
Jun 10, 2024
LONDON/ SINGAPORE (Reuters) -The euro fell sharply on Monday, hit by political uncertainty after gains by the far-right in voting for the European Parliament on Sunday prompted a bruised French President Emmanuel Macron to call a snap national election. The uncertainty in France adds one more element to what will be a busy week for markets with crucial U.S. inflation...
ICC Holdings to Be Acquired by Mutual Capital Group in $73.8 Million Transaction
ICC Holdings to Be Acquired by Mutual Capital Group in $73.8 Million Transaction
Jun 10, 2024
04:43 AM EDT, 06/10/2024 (MT Newswires) -- ICC Holdings ( ICCH ) has entered a deal to be acquired by Mutual Capital Group for $23.50 per share in cash, the companies said Saturday. The transaction represents a total equity value of about $73.8 million. The deal is expected to close in Q4, after which ICC Holdings ( ICCH ) will...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved