financetom
Business
financetom
/
Business
/
Analysis-Mexico free trade with US may survive as Trump spares it from new tariffs, hits rivals
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Analysis-Mexico free trade with US may survive as Trump spares it from new tariffs, hits rivals
Apr 3, 2025 1:15 PM

MEXICO CITY (Reuters) - President Donald Trump's "Liberation Day" appeared set to end North American free trade and Mexico's privileged access to the U.S. 

Instead, Mexican officials are celebrating being left off Trump's global tariffs list, with analysts suggesting the omission could prolong North American free trade. 

On a day in which nearly all countries were hit with at least 10% tariffs, Mexico and Canada were the exceptions, potentially putting them in a position to benefit from the higher costs of other nations' goods, particularly in Asia. 

At Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum's press conference on Thursday, flanked by Economy Minister Marcelo Ebrard, the relief was palpable.

"Today, yes we have preferential treatment," Ebrard told reporters. 

"The treaty remains in place; that's a major achievement. Let's not take it for granted because in a new trade order, based on tariffs, it's very difficult for a free trade agreement to survive," Mexico's top trade negotiator added.

To be sure, Mexico still has plenty of headwinds to navigate. U.S. tariffs as high as 25% are still imposed on automobiles, steel, and aluminum, as well as on goods that do not comply with the USMCA trade pact among the North American countries. 

In potentially a sign of things to come, carmaker Stellantis said it was pausing production at an assembly plant in Mexico and one in Canada, and temporarily laying off 900 workers at five U.S. facilities.

In Canada, where Prime Minister Mark Carney is in campaign mode and benefiting in the polls from a tough-on-Trump approach, the response was more muted.

While Carney acknowledged on Wednesday the U.S. president had in his tariff announcement "preserved a number of important elements of our relationship," on Thursday, Carney said Canada will impose a 25% reciprocal tariff on all vehicles imported from the United States that are not USMCA-compliant. 

Flavio Volpe, president of Canada's Automotive Parts Manufacturers' Association, described Trump's decision not to impose new tariffs on Canada "like dodging a bullet into the path of a tank."

MEXICO'S ADVANTAGE

But in Mexico, which is the United States' top trading partner and has over the past 30 years built a manufacturing base that is deeply reliant on the U.S., the news that tariff-free trade will continue for many goods was heralded as a victory.

Among the products Mexico can continue to export to the U.S. without tariffs are avocados and other agricultural goods, textiles and garments, and pharmaceuticals.

That access compares to a steep 32% tariff on U.S. imports from Indonesia and a 46% tariff on products from Vietnam, both competitors of Mexico's in textile sales.

The Mexican peso gained strength on Thursday, appreciating to less than 20 pesos to the dollar for the first time since mid-March, as investors believe Mexico emerged relatively unscathed.

Trump's decision to mostly spare USMCA goods underlines his ambivalent relationship with the trade treaty. He has waxed hot and cold on the deal that he negotiated, at times praising it and at others saying Mexican factories continue to drain U.S. jobs.

The U.S. president has shown a propensity to change policies with little notice. But for now, Mexico seems to have an opportunity.

"Mexico and North America do appear to be in a relatively advantageous position versus other regions," said Julian Ventura, a former Mexican deputy foreign secretary and ambassador to China.    

The USMCA is up for renewal next year, and analysts said Mexico should aim to start that renegotiation as quickly as possible to shift discussions with the U.S. from avoiding tariff threats to talks on a refreshed trade deal.

"In this world, everyone is going to get tariffed. Instead of comparative advantages, it's (about) comparative disadvantages," said Diego Marroquin Bitar, an expert on North American trade who also works as a consultant.     

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Top Premarket Gainers
Top Premarket Gainers
Jun 5, 2025
07:37 AM EDT, 06/05/2025 (MT Newswires) -- Liminatus Pharma ( LIMN ) shares were 84% higher pre-bell Thursday after the company said late Wednesday that it is now compliant with Nasdaq's listing rules. CTRL Group ( MCTR ) shares were up 53%, rebounding from the previous session's slide. IperionX ( IPX ) shares were 19% higher after the company said...
Life Time Group Starts Secondary Offering of 20 Million Shares
Life Time Group Starts Secondary Offering of 20 Million Shares
Jun 5, 2025
07:33 AM EDT, 06/05/2025 (MT Newswires) -- Life Time Group Holdings ( LTH ) said Thursday that stockholders Leonard Green & Partners and TPG (TPG) plan to offer 20 million of the company's common shares in an underwritten public offering. The selling stockholders will receive the entire proceeds from the offering, while the company will not receive any, Life Time...
Aurora Cannabis Grows Australia Medical Cannabis Offerings
Aurora Cannabis Grows Australia Medical Cannabis Offerings
Jun 5, 2025
07:30 AM EDT, 06/05/2025 (MT Newswires) -- Aurora Cannabis ( ACB ) said Thursday it has expanded its medical cannabis offerings in Australia with the launch of IndiMed Tempo 22. The two new cultivars under the IndiMed brand are available through the company's MedReleaf Australia unit, it said. Aurora Cannabis ( ACB ) shares were down 1.1% in recent premarket...
Maserati ready to present new business plan very soon, brand boss says
Maserati ready to present new business plan very soon, brand boss says
Jun 5, 2025
MODENA, Italy (Reuters) -Maserati plans to present a new business plan shortly, soon after parent company Stellantis' ( STLA ) new CEO Antonio Filosa officially starts in his job later this month, the head of the struggling luxury carmaker said on Thursday. The loss-making Italian brand, the only one in the luxury segment for the world's fourth largest automaker, has...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved