financetom
Business
financetom
/
Business
/
Analysis-Soaring electric truck sales deal new blow to diesel use in China
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Analysis-Soaring electric truck sales deal new blow to diesel use in China
Jul 10, 2025 7:48 PM

LANGFANG, China (Reuters) -Electric-powered heavy trucks are rapidly gaining market share in China, driven by subsidies and the quick rollout of chargers, further curbing diesel usage and denting oil demand from the world's biggest crude importer.

The boom in electric truck sales in China follows that of electric cars and the rise in recent years of LNG-powered heavy trucks. Those factors, combined with slowing economic growth, have stifled its oil consumption growth.

Sales in the world's biggest market for new energy trucks are estimated to have risen 175% year-on-year to 76,100 in the first half of this year, or about a quarter of new truck sales, according to consulting firm Sublime China Information (SCI). Electric models, still mostly used for short-haul runs in ports, mines or steel mills, accounted for over 90% of that increase.

The rapid pace has surprised analysts who have revised down diesel demand forecasts as a result and brought forward their predictions for a peak in Chinese oil demand.

SCI's analyst Xu Lei said he cut the firm's China diesel demand expectations by 1%-2% given the boom in electric truck sales.

"The surge in electric heavy trucks was a surprise and has become a new factor accelerating China's oil consumption to peak, most likely this year," said Ye Lin, vice president at Rystad Energy, who had previously expected a 2026 peak.

The transport sector, which burns about two-thirds of all diesel in China, will use 40% less by 2030, cutting overall diesel consumption by about a quarter compared to 2024 levels, according to Rystad.

Diesel consumption this year is forecast to fall by 11.3 million tons, or 6.3%, on par with last year's drop, according to SCI.

'BEIJING TO YUNNAN'

After more than six years behind the wheel of a diesel truck, Li Shuai, who drives for a cement plant in Hebei province near Beijing, switched to an electric truck six months ago.

"Charging infrastructure has improved noticeably in the past half year, making things much more convenient," Li, 38, said. "It is even possible to drive an empty truck more than 2,000 km from Beijing to Yunnan to pick up goods without worry."

The rapid buildup of charging infrastructure, primarily through industrial corridors, is underpinning adoption, although charge times that can stretch to 90 minutes and limited charger availability in some areas remain issues.

Teld, an EV charging infrastructure provider that has built more than 2,400 truck charging stations across China, officially opened an 800 km corridor in March linking Shanxi and Shandong provinces, a key route through the country's coal-producing region.

At a charging station next to the Hebei cement plant, car and truck chargers sit side by side in the dusty lot. Owner Yongji Liu had originally only planned to service EVs but said "the electric truck market is growing so fast that we also installed chargers for trucks".

CHEAPER THAN ALTERNATIVES

The booming market for electric trucks is partly due to cheap electricity and government subsidies introduced last July of up to 95,000 yuan ($13,264) for new vehicles, analysts and truckmakers said.

While diesel trucks are cheaper upfront, higher fuel costs make them more expensive after a million kilometers of driving.

Once fuel is included, diesel trucks cost about 2.25 million yuan ($314,000) at the million-kilometer mark, roughly 10% more than LNG trucks and 15% more than electric trucks, according to GL Consulting.

Rising fuel costs have also eroded some of the price advantage enjoyed by LNG trucks, which along with limited refueling stations in some regions, have hindered their growth, said SCI analyst Wang Neng.

SCI forecasts LNG truck sales to hit around 92,000 units in the first half, down 15% from a year earlier, although the surge in electric adoption is more than offsetting the impact on diesel consumption.

China's second-best-selling electric truck maker Sany says the growth potential for electric trucks is greater than for passenger EVs because lower operating costs bolster the profitability of corporate users.

"We expect electric heavy trucks to account for 70% to 80% of new sales within as little as two to three years, driven by lower operating costs and more comprehensive charging infrastructure," said Zhaoting Yue, SANY's vice president of international marketing.

($1 = 7.1625 Chinese yuan)

(Reporting by Sam Li and Lewis Jackson in Beijing and Hebei; Editing by Muralikumar Anantharaman)

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
EQB Target Lifted to $117 at National Bank
EQB Target Lifted to $117 at National Bank
Feb 26, 2025
03:36 PM EST, 02/26/2025 (MT Newswires) -- National Bank has lifted its target on EQB to $117, from $109, and maintained its Sector Perform rating. EQB reported first-quarter adjusted EPS of $2.98 that beat National Bank's $2.84 estimate. Analyst Gabriel Dechaine notes the positive surprise in the results, namely via lower loan losses. PCLs fell 30% shy of National's forecast,...
Australia treasurer approves Qatar Airways' 25% stake buy in Virgin Australia
Australia treasurer approves Qatar Airways' 25% stake buy in Virgin Australia
Feb 26, 2025
(Reuters) - Australia's Treasurer Jim Chalmers approved Qatar Airways' proposal to buy a 25% stake in Virgin Australia, the Australian Financial Review reported early on Thursday. ...
What's Going On With Siyata Mobile Shares Wednesday?
What's Going On With Siyata Mobile Shares Wednesday?
Feb 26, 2025
Siyata Mobile, Inc. ( SYTA ) stock is moving higher on Wednesday after the company announced it will acquire Core Gaming. This is what you need to know. What To Know: Siyata will acquire Core by issuing shares valued at $160 million, with legacy Siyata shareholders guaranteed at least a 10% stake in the combined company. Core is a global...
Goodyear, Bridgestone, other tiremakers defeat price-fixing lawsuits
Goodyear, Bridgestone, other tiremakers defeat price-fixing lawsuits
Feb 26, 2025
Feb 26 (Reuters) - Goodyear, Bridgestone ( BRDCF ) and four other tire manufacturers have persuaded a U.S. judge to dismiss class-action lawsuits accusing them of conspiring to overcharge consumers and businesses in the multibillion-dollar market for replacement tires. U.S. Chief District Judge Sara Lioi in an order on Tuesday in the Akron, Ohio, federal court rejected price-fixing claims against...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved