financetom
Business
financetom
/
Business
/
Analysis-US Gulf Coast oil prices to take center stage as exports dominate
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Analysis-US Gulf Coast oil prices to take center stage as exports dominate
Sep 28, 2024 11:01 PM

By Arathy Somasekhar

HOUSTON (Reuters) - Rising U.S. crude oil exports are boosting the prominence of Gulf Coast price benchmarks and buoying trading volumes on Houston contracts, eroding the significance of the Cushing, Oklahoma, storage hub.

Since U.S. WTI Midland crude oil transactions joined the dated Brent price assessment a year ago, U.S. oil exports have overshadowed the role of Cushing as a storage and pricing hub, traders and analysts said.

Cushing has been the delivery and pricing point for West Texas Intermediate crude futures (WTI) on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) since 1983. The benchmark is currently used to price major U.S. crude grades for physical delivery, trading at a differential to WTI.

However, not long after the U.S. lifted its ban on crude exports in 2015 amid a shale boom that turned the country into the world's top producer, both the Intercontinental Exchange ( ICE ) and CME Group ( CME ), which owns NYMEX, launched contracts to trade and deliver crude from Midland, Texas, to terminals around Houston.

Average daily volumes on CME's WTI Houston contract more than doubled so far in September to a record high year on year, the exchange said.

An all-time high of over 18 million barrels were delivered against ICE's competing HOU contract, compared with less than 10 million barrels in August last year, ICE said.

Increasing liquidity in these contracts will create opportunities for hedging and arbitrage trades, leading to more deliveries in storage terminals in the region, and fewer into Cushing, oil market experts said.

"The physical market for U.S. production has already moved to the U.S. Gulf Coast, and now the futures market is following suit," said Jeff Barbuto, global head of oil markets at the Intercontinental Exchange ( ICE ) .

While shale oil output from the Permian basin in Texas and New Mexico, the largest U.S. oilfield, has surged 3.6% to average 6.1 million barrels per day (bpd) so far this year, much of that oil is heading to storage closer to Gulf Coast export ports, or to refiners in the region.

"Where the big trade flow of crude oil is from the Permian and comes across to Houston, it kind of bypasses Cushing," said Colin Parfitt, a vice president at Chevron ( CVX ).

CME said that WTI continues to be the most liquid and significant benchmark and that Gulf Coast is an important and growing market.

Inventories at the Gulf Coast stood at about 235 million barrels last week, about 7% higher than levels at the start of 2016 after the export ban was lifted.

Cushing storage bounced off 11 month lows to 22.8 million barrels last week, near operational minimums, and was about 64% lower than the levels at the start of 2016.

"If someone were to say a year ago, that Cushing (stocks) would be at rock bottom, you would think oil would be at $100," said James Cordier, founder of think tank Cordier Commodity Report. The U.S. benchmark was trading below $70 a barrel on Thursday.

COASTAL PRICES DOMINATE

The flagship price benchmark along the Gulf Coast, particularly for exports, is WTI at East Houston, also known as MEH as it represents WTI arriving by pipeline and traded at the Magellan's East Houston (MEH) terminal.

"U.S. exports are around 4 million (barrels) a day and Midland priced at East Houston is really the barometer on how to price U.S. exports," said Jeremy Irwin, senior oil markets analyst at researcher Energy Aspects.

"I don't see any incentive to why you would want to necessarily store barrels at Cushing," said Irwin. "What Cushing becomes is more of a flow-through hub, rather than a storage pricing hub."

Oil basins feeding Cushing have also lost some of their sparkle. U.S. crude output growth from secondary shale oil basins in North Dakota, Pennsylvania, Ohio and West Virginia have slowed. They historically helped fill Cushing's hundreds of storage tanks.

Canada's Trans Mountain pipeline expansion also has siphoned some of the crude oil that would have flowed to Cushing.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
SJVN secures 200-MW wind power project at ₹3.24 per unit
SJVN secures 200-MW wind power project at ₹3.24 per unit
Nov 16, 2023
Projected to generate 482 million units in its inaugural year post-commissioning, the cumulative energy generation over a 25-year span is anticipated to reach 12,050 million units. Shares of SJVN Ltd ended at ₹75.17, down by ₹0.50, or 0.66%, on the BSE.
This sustainable jewellery brand is luring some women away from gold
This sustainable jewellery brand is luring some women away from gold
Oct 30, 2023
Aulerth's offerings range from ₹5,000 to as high as ₹2.8 lakh. Are women willing to spend this much on jewellery made from scrap? Founder and CEO Vivek Ramabhadran definitely believes so. Aulerth produces couture-inspired pieces in association with designers like JJ Valaya, Suneet Varma, among others. It has reported 33% repeat customers in the past year and expects a spike to 40% soon.
Tata Power Renewable Energy wins 200-MW project in collaboration with SJVN
Tata Power Renewable Energy wins 200-MW project in collaboration with SJVN
Nov 28, 2023
The firm and dispatchable renewable energy (FDRE) project, designed with a hybrid of solar, wind, and battery storage, is aimed at providing a stable and dispatchable energy supply during peak hours. Shares of Tata Power Company Ltd ended at ₹270.75, up by ₹12.60, or 4.88%, on the BSE.
Suzlon's S144–3 MW wind turbines get big boost from Indian government
Suzlon's S144–3 MW wind turbines get big boost from Indian government
Nov 15, 2023
Th Suzlon wind turbines received the RLMM (Revised List of Models & Manufacturers) listing from the Ministry of New and Renewable Energy, marking an important milestone for the successful commercialisation of the product. Shares of Suzlon Energy Ltd ended at ₹40.49, up by ₹1.85, or 4.79%, on the BSE.
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved