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Arm Holdings Poised for 28% Sales Growth; Custom Chip Plans Key to Long-Term Catalyst, Morgan Stanley Says
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Arm Holdings Poised for 28% Sales Growth; Custom Chip Plans Key to Long-Term Catalyst, Morgan Stanley Says
Oct 9, 2025 8:56 AM

11:23 AM EDT, 10/09/2025 (MT Newswires) -- ARM Holdings ( ARM ) considered an attractive entry point because strong Q2 licensing and royalties will offset rising operational expenses, supporting the long-term potential of custom chip development, Morgan Stanley said Thursday in a report.

The firm projects Arm's Q2 sales to rise 28% year-over-year, driven by strong licensing revenue of $470 million and strong royalties supported by Apple's ( AAPL ) iPhone cycle.

Morgan Stanley sees operating expenses rising to $949 million in Q2 as headcount expansion to 12,000 by 2027 to 2028 pressures near-term margins, according to the report.

The analyst has lowered its projected three-year earnings per share compound annual growth rate for 2024 to 2027 to around 28%, down from an earlier estimate of 32% to 34%, the report said.

Despite Morgan Stanley reduced its 2027 EPS forecast to $2.64 from $2.68, it remains positive on the company's long-term growth, citing prospects in custom chip development and a broadening licensing portfolio. Analysts surveyed by FactSet expect $2.25.

Analysts see Arm's discount to Nvidia ( NVDA ) and Advanced Micro Devices ( AMD ) as a buying opportunity, with long-term potential in CPU leadership and future ASIC development over 3 to 5 years, it added.

The firm maintained its rating on Arm Holdings ( ARM ) to overweight, but reduced its price target to $171 from $180.

Shares of the company were down 0.8% in recent trading.

Price: 168.15, Change: +1.38, Percent Change: +0.82

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