*
AI ETFs launched so far in 2024 account for over a third
all
ETFs focused on AI
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BlackRock's ( BLK ) new AI ETFs aim to capture emerging
opportunities
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Venture capital firms to invest $79.2 billion in AI
startups by
year-end, Accel says
By Suzanne McGee
Oct 28 (Reuters) - Exchange-traded funds focused on
artificial intelligence are proliferating as asset managers
offer investors new ways to tap in to the market enthusiasm for
AI, even while it remains unclear which companies will emerge as
the long-term winners from the latest technology revolution.
More than one-third of the two dozen ETFs that include
artificial intelligence or AI in their name have been launched
in 2024 alone, according to data from Morningstar.
In the past week, three more joined their ranks, including a
cloud computing ETF rebranded and revamped to specifically
target AI. The AI ETF group now has assets of $4.5 billion,
drawing it closer to the $5.5 billion nuclear power-themed ETF
universe, and pushing it well above the cannabis sector, with
$1.37 billion in assets.
"I'm not surprised their ranks are multiplying," said Daniel
Sotiroff, senior analyst at Morningstar. "This is a
fast-growing, fast-moving industry, and it is easy to hope that
you could end up making a lot of money in a short period of
time."
The 200%-plus stock gain by chipmaker Nvidia ( NVDA ) - AI's
poster child - over the last 12 months likely just reaffirms
that confidence, Sotiroff said.
Beyond Nvidia ( NVDA ), AI is likely to produce a larger and broader
swath of beneficiaries in the future, said Tony Kim, head of the
fundamental equities technology group at BlackRock ( BLK ). Kim
is the manager of the two new AI-themed ETFs launched by
BlackRock ( BLK ) on Tuesday, the iShares A.I. Innovation and Tech
Active ETF and the iShares Technology Opportunities
Active ETF.
The first of the firm's AI products, the $630 million
iShares Future AI & Tech ETF, launched in 2018,
currently trades just below a 52-week high recorded on Oct. 14.
While its initial AI product is linked to an index, the two
new funds are actively managed and designed to capture emerging
opportunities within AI, according to Jay Jacobs, head of active
and thematic ETFs at BlackRock ( BLK ).
"The AI market is going to change dramatically," said Kim.
"What you think it is today, isn't going to be what it becomes
tomorrow or next year or in a few years."
ARMS RACE
BofA Securities market analysts Ohsung Kwon and Savita
Subramanian said in a recent report they believe there is "an AI
arms race" under way among giant technology companies like
Microsoft ( MSFT ) and Amazon.com ( AMZN ). They calculate that
capital spending this year from four megacaps making big AI bets
will total $206 billion, up 40% over 2023. Meanwhile, capital
spending by the other 496 companies in the S&P 500 will
dip slightly, they project.
Venture capital firms also are directing as much as $79.2
billion in funding to AI startups by the end of the year, 27%
above 2023 levels, according to an estimate from venture firm
Accel. That means that 40 cents of every dollar invested by VC
firms will go to an AI company.
Of course, investing in an AI-themed ETF does not guarantee
market outperformance. The largest of the AI funds, the Global X
Artificial Intelligence & Technology ETF, is up about
20% so far this year, against a 22% rise for the benchmark S&P
500.
Amplify ETFs earlier this month rebranded an existing
cloud-computing ETF to reflect a new focus on the emerging
technology, naming it the Amplify Bloomberg AI Value Chain ETF
.
"Now, we're trying to get exposure to the cloud with a
specific AI tilt," said Nathan Miller, vice president of product
development at Amplify.
The long-term goal, he added, is to be ready to profit if
and when all that capital spending on AI starts to show up in
earnings, and be ahead of the curve in identifying new
opportunities.
"Like every ETF firm out there, we are trying to offer
investors something differentiated," Miller said.