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Size of buffer ETF market has doubled since mid-2023
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New entrants chasing high-growth arena offer more exotic
structures
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Cathie Wood's ARK becomes latest entrant to file for a
buffer
By Suzanne McGee
NEW YORK, August 4 (Reuters) - Investors are piling into
financial products that offer them the chance to forgo some
potential gains in exchange for protection against a market
selloff, with the number of exchange-traded funds offering
variants on this concept doubling in number and size over the
last two years.
So far this year, some 30 of these so-called buffer funds
have made their debut in the U.S. as investors try to protect
recent gains from the risk that soaring valuations and ongoing
policy tumult will prompt a retreat.
That brings the total number to nearly 350, compared to 178
two years ago, according to data from Tidal Financial Group.
Each launch provides a new twist on the concept as more asset
managers battle to win a piece of a pie worth $70 billion today
and one that BlackRock ( BLK ) expects to hit $650 billion by
the end of the decade.
But the rapid growth and growing complexity of the new ETFs
are fueling anxiety among some analysts and market participants
that the asset management universe may be hitting "peak buffer",
a point at which products become too exotic and too focused on a
narrow market segment to be useful tools for most investors.
That, in turn, creates the prospect of investors putting money
into costly or unsuitable products.
"There are only so many ways to skin the cat, so every new
product becomes more niche," said Dave Nadig, an independent ETF
industry consultant. "The likelihood of any new product being
brought out now that an investor's portfolio really requires is
pretty small."
That is not stopping issuers from trying, however. Today,
investors can buy risk-protected bitcoin products, buffer their
exposure to Chinese Internet stocks, and own next-generation
"dual direction" buffer ETFs, designed not just to minimize
losses but to give investors capped gains in both rising and
falling markets.
Plain vanilla buffer ETFs offer investors a way to swap
part of their upside for some kind of cushion against losses on
a portfolio of stocks, most usually an index like the S&P 500
. The structure dates back to the 1980s, when it
underpinned structured notes that were then fast becoming part
of high-net worth investor portfolios.
Those still represent the lion's share of the market, with
pioneers First Trust and Innovator Capital Management accounting
for about 86% of buffer ETF assets and about 75% of inflows into
the space in the first seven months of 2025, according to data
provided by issuers and verified by Reuters.
But a filing in early July by a surprise new entrant into
the buffer field - ARK Investments, the technology asset
management firm founded by Cathie Wood - has prompted further
debate. ARK is seeking approval from U.S. regulators to launch a
suite of new buffer ETFs tied to its flagship ARK Innovation ETF
.
If they pass regulators' scrutiny, these would be the first
ETFs tied to an underlying actively managed fund rather than a
broad market index and shield investors from the first 50% of
any losses on ARK Innovation. In exchange, investors relinquish
the first 6% of any gain.
"It's a strange combination, to have a buffer alongside
the high-conviction ARK Innovation strategy," said Bryan Armour,
ETF analyst at Morningstar. "It's coming from the firm that was
a pioneer of risk-taking and stockpicking in the ETF space."
That strategy has produced uneven returns, with the ARKK ETF
generating a 152.8% return in 2020 but a 67% loss in 2022. So
far this year, the ETF is up 32.8%, compared to 6% for the S&P
500 index, but both it and ARK continue to lose assets.
ARK executives declined to comment on the details of the
filing, citing SEC restrictions during the post-filing "quiet
period."
ARK could launch the new buffer in early September, at which
point it will test investor appetite for more novel structures.
"My eyebrows are pretty much raised," said Kevin Warman, a
financial advisor with Investment Management Corp, in Mount
Pleasant, South Carolina. "But I'm not surprised that more
companies are jumping on the bandwagon."
Relative newcomers include Goldman Sachs Asset Management -
its first buffer ETF began trading in January - and BlackRock ( BLK ),
which rolled out its first offerings in mid-2023, more than four
years after Innovator and First Trust launched their own
offerings.
Asset managers insist that the market for buffers is nowhere
close to saturated yet, even as analysts and some financial
advisors are watching the flood of new offerings with wariness.
Still, Warman said he and his colleagues are struggling to
keep up with the details of each new product that launches.
"We want to make sure whichever of these we buy delivers on
a real need," he said.