LONDON, Dec 3 (Reuters) - Globalisation is being reset
by U.S. President-elect Donald Trump's trade tariff threats and
worries about regulatory arbitrage between Wall Street banks and
their international rivals, senior bankers said on Tuesday.
Trump said last month he would impose a 25% tariff on all
products from Mexico and Canada, and an additional 10% tariff on
goods from China, on the first day of his second term, raising
concerns about global trading relationships.
Such tariffs could disrupt supply chains but also open up
opportunities for banks across Asia and the Middle East, Tanuj
Kapilashrami, Chief Strategy and Talent Officer at Standard
Chartered ( SCBFF ), said in response to a question at the FT
Global Banking Summit in London.
Separately, European Central Bank board member Piero
Cipollone said U.S. import duties could lower economic growth
and inflation in the 20 countries sharing the euro.
Some commentators have predicted a wave of financial
deregulation on Wall Street during Trump's second spell as
president, adding to speculation that 'Basel Endgame' rules
designed to shock-proof the global banking system will not be
rolled out in the United States at the same pace as in Europe.
C.S. Venkatakrishnan, CEO of Britain's Barclays ( JJCTF )
said he was still hopeful the rules would be adopted at roughly
the same time, which would support the efforts of European
lenders to remain competitive with their U.S. rivals.
"It's realistic ... the world has invested a lot in this,"
he said, adding: "We get carried away and look at personalities,
but the U.S. is a country of great and strong institutions, and
it knows it has a very important role to play in the
international world."
European bank executives are concerned that the superior
returns enjoyed by U.S. banks in recent years could grow yet
further if Trump's measures favour his home market.
North American banks are outpacing their European peers in
revenue generation, with net interest margins of 1.8% compared
to just 1.2%, research from professional services firm Alvarez &
Marshal showed on Tuesday.