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German chancellor visits China after 'de-risking' push
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West and China clash over trade, Chinese overcapacity
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Germany to press China on business climate
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Two-thirds of German companies feel uneven playing field:
survey
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Chinese support for Russia is hurting reputation, Germany
says
(Adds details from German government briefing, new analyst
quote on overcapacity, bullet points)
By Andreas Rinke and Laurie Chen
BERLIN/BEIJING, April 12 (Reuters) - Last year Germany
launched a strategy to "de-risk" from China, but on Saturday
Chancellor Olaf Scholz starts a high-stakes visit there hoping
to shore up ties at a delicate point with the U.S. and EU
threatening to hammer Chinese goods in subsidy rows.
With the German economy in the doldrums, its companies are
pressing for fairer access to a Chinese market which they say
still favours local firms despite promises to the contrary.
At the same time, China is likely to press Berlin not to
back threatened European Union measures against its cars, solar
and wind park equipment that Brussels feels are being dumped on
its market too cheaply.
China's own economy is also struggling, hit by another
ratings outlook downgrade this week and with its factories
blamed for producing more goods than they can sell locally.
Looming over the visit is the prospect of the return of
Donald Trump to the White House, who has threatened to hike
trade tariffs on all countries including Germany.
With U.S. aid to Kyiv looking potentially shakier, Scholz
will press China on its support for Russia's wartime economy two
years into its invasion of Ukraine.
"The Europeans urgently need to clarify how they can
position themselves as a pole between the USA and China and not
be crushed between their conflicts," said Maximilian Butek, the
head of the German Chamber of Commerce in eastern China.
In blunt language, German officials on Friday said Beijing's
support and exports to Russia were enabling Moscow to wage a war
of aggression in Ukraine and causing a "growing loss of
reputation for China" in Europe and beyond.
However, they also said Beijing could play a positive role
in cooling tensions in the Middle East.
While insisting it does not want to "decouple", Scholz's
government has become wary of tethering Germany to the Chinese
economy after the invasion of Ukraine exposed Europe's reliance
on Russian gas and fuelled a cost-of-living crisis.
Germany coordinated the visit with the United States, France
and the European Commission.
Scholz is set to press China to make good on its pledge to
level the playing field for companies, who say they are still
waiting for concrete steps, and three studies published this
week highlight concerns.
One study showed nearly two-thirds of companies feel
discriminated against in the Chinese market.
A second by the Kiel Institute estimated China's subsidies
for its firms range between three to nine times that of other
major economies.
And yet efforts to diversify from China have been patchy, a
third study showed, and other measures, such as moves by Berlin
to curb use of Huawei equipment from German networks,
have yet to materialise.
Scholz's government last July produced a 64-page strategy
document outlining China's increasing assertiveness, "unfair
practices" and the risks to supply chains in a potential
conflict over Taiwan.
"The Americans and the Europeans are loading the gun,
meaning they're preparing for dumping cases and so forth," said
Joerg Wuttke, former president of the EU Chamber of Commerce in
China.
"I think Scholz will mention it, I think the Chinese
response will be: thank you very much, but there is no
overcapacity. And nothing gets resolved."
BUILDING TRUST
Scholz takes with him CEOs of some leading companies, such
as Siemens, and three cabinet ministers, underscoring
Beijing's importance.
Shi Yinhong, Professor at the School of International
Studies, Renmin University of China said it was important for
Beijing to win over Germany in the face of an EU push to curb
China's green energy exports.
"Making Germany - which has been inclined to follow its
allies in China-related trade restrictions but is still quite
hesitant and slow - oppose it in this period is really important
for China's rearguard actions."
Scholz will travel to Shanghai, Chongqing, and Beijing,
where he will meet President Xi Jinping and Premier Li Qiang.
Mikko Huotari, head of the Merics Institute in Berlin, calls
it a "re-engaging" and stabilising of relations. He urged Scholz
to emphasise that Germany has a special role within the EU and
does not want Brussels to take tough action in trade disputes.
Economy Minister Robert Habeck and Foreign Minister Annalena
Baerbock, who last year angered Beijing by calling President Xi
a "dictator", are likely to visit China next.
While German businesses are wary of the impact an escalating
trade war could have on their own investments' in the world's
second biggest economy, the EU also faces a dilemma. Cheap
Chinese solar and wind imports, for example, could help it
achieve its climate goals, but damage local industries.
"I think all sides are lacking trust, so the visit is seen
as a good sign from the Chinese," German Chamber of Commerce's
Butek said.
"We insist on open markets because this is essential to our
survival. The price of losing the market here is way too high
than what we gain from import tariffs on Chinese goods."
(Writing by Matthias Williams; Editing by Muralikumar
Anantharaman and Tomasz Janowski)