financetom
Business
financetom
/
Business
/
BHP expects copper demand to grow by 1 million metric tons a year until 2035
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
BHP expects copper demand to grow by 1 million metric tons a year until 2035
Oct 2, 2024 11:20 PM

(Reuters) - Australian miner BHP expects the world to consume an extra 1 million metric tons of copper per year on average until 2035 due to the adoption of copper-intensive technologies, double the annual volume growth in the past 15 years.

Copper has long been used in the construction, transport and power sectors due to its durability, malleability and conductivity. In recent years, it is also used in making electric vehicles, green energy plants, and data centres.

BHP said in a report released on Monday that global copper demand has grown at a 3.1% compound annual growth rate over the last 75 years. But this growth rate has been slowing to only 1.9% over the 15 years to 2021, it said.

"Looking to 2035, however, we expect this growth rate to jump back to 2.6% annually," the report said.

Total copper demand in 2023 was 31 million tons, including 25 million tons of copper cathode and 6 million tons of copper scrap, according to BHP, which operates and owns most of the world's largest copper mine Escondida.

"As we look towards 2050, we see a 70% surge in global copper demand to 50 million tonnes annually, driven by copper's role in existing and emerging technologies, and in the world's decarbonisation aspirations," said BHP Chief Commercial Officer Rag Udd.

The mining giant expects the energy transition sector will account for 23% of copper demand by 2050, from 7% currently, it said in the report.

The digital sector, which spans data centres, 5G, artificial intelligence, internet of things and blockchain, will account for 6% of copper demand by 2050, from 1% now, BHP forecast.

China's demand will continue to grow, albeit at a lower rate, because its copper usage per capita is only half that of developed countries. India will also see growth, it said.

Meanwhile, copper mining output growth is constrained by high costs and depleting ore grade.

"We estimate the average grade of copper mines has declined by around 40% since 1991... We expect between one-third and one-half of global copper supply to face grade decline and ageing challenges over the next decade," BHP added.

The total bill for all expansion capex from 2025-2034 is seen reaching around $250 billion, a significant increase from the previous 10 years, when the total spend on copper projects was approximately $150 billion, BHP said.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Once a beacon of stability, Vietnam to name third president in a year
Once a beacon of stability, Vietnam to name third president in a year
Mar 22, 2024
HANOI, March 22 (Reuters) - Communist-ruled Vietnam is seeking its third president in little more than a year after the resignation of Vo Van Thuong, who was only elected last year after the sudden dismissal of his predecessor. With accumulated foreign direct investment higher than its gross domestic product, Vietnam's stability is crucial to multinationals with large operations in the...
Hutchmed Begins Registration Stage for Phase 2/3 Trial of Investigational Autoimmune Disorder Drug
Hutchmed Begins Registration Stage for Phase 2/3 Trial of Investigational Autoimmune Disorder Drug
Mar 22, 2024
05:04 AM EDT, 03/22/2024 (MT Newswires) -- Hutchmed ( HCM ) said late Thursday it has started the registration stage for a phase 2/3 clinical trial of investigational drug sovleplenib for adult patients with warm antibody autoimmune hemolytic anemia in China. The move follows positive data from the proof-of-concept phase 2 stage of the trial and a consultation with the...
Cathie Wood's ARK Invest scoops up nearly 10,000 Reddit shares in debut
Cathie Wood's ARK Invest scoops up nearly 10,000 Reddit shares in debut
Mar 22, 2024
(Reuters) - Popular investor Cathie Wood's ARK Invest bought nearly 10,000 shares of Reddit ( RDDT ) in the social media platform's strong market debut on Thursday, an email from the asset manager showed. A total of 9,982 shares of the loss-making company was added to ARK Next Generation Internet ETF ( ARKW ) and ARK Fintech Innovation ETF (...
Japan's union group Rengo announces biggest wage hikes on record
Japan's union group Rengo announces biggest wage hikes on record
Mar 22, 2024
TOKYO (Reuters) -Japanese firms have agreed to raise pay by 5.25% this year, the biggest rise under comparable data since 2013, the country's largest union group Rengo confirmed on Friday. The results of the closely-watched wage negotiations are announced in several stages, in which the blue-chip firms are first to wrap up their talks in mid-March. The second announcement on...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved