financetom
Business
financetom
/
Business
/
BIS sends government debt warning before important elections
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
BIS sends government debt warning before important elections
Jun 30, 2024 8:35 AM

LONDON (Reuters) - The Bank for International Settlements warned on Sunday that rising government debt levels amid a number of major elections this year could roil global financial markets.

Dubbed the central bankers' central bank, the BIS said the world economy was now on course for the "smooth landing" that many economists doubted when interest rates shot up, but said policymakers, especially politicians, needed to be careful.

Global government debt is already at record levels and elections ranging from the U.S. presidential vote in November, through recent ones in Mexico and South Africa, to votes in France and Britain in the coming week, all carry risks.

BIS general manager Agustin Carstens said with interest rates not about to go back to ultra-low levels and cost pressures from aging populations, climate change and rebuilding defence capabilities, economic stimulus plans and a general rise in protectionism could unsettle sensitive markets.

"They can surprise you with not much notice," Carstens said, pointing to the turbulence in Britain's markets following then Prime Minister Liz Truss' budget plans which put some pension funds at risk of collapse. "You really want to avoid that."

As well as persistent concerns over U.S. debt levels, the French debt risk premium has surged this month to its highest level since the euro zone crisis in 2012, after French President Emmanuel Macron called a snap parliamentary election being held on Sunday that could bring in a far right government.

Carstens said the BIS was not calling out any "one or two" governments but that the message was clear.

"They (governments) must cut short the rise in public debt and accept that interest rates may not return to the pre-pandemic ultra low levels," he said. "We need a solid foundation to build upon".

INFLATION FIGHT

The positive, however, is that central banks are successfully reining in inflation that had hit decades-long highs after the COVID-19 pandemic and then Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine, which riled commodity markets.

"Compared to last year, I have to say we are in a much better place," the former Mexican central bank governor told reporters as the BIS published its annual report.

Although Carstens said central banks deserved praise for navigating a difficult path that could have resulted in a wave of recessions, he added they needed to persevere, likening the inflation fight to a course of antibiotics to tackle an illness.

He described an "extreme" scenario where inflation races up again and central banks need to raise rates further. But that is not what the BIS expects.

The BIS report did though say central banks should not rush into rate cuts.

"A premature easing could reignite inflationary pressures and force a costly policy reversal," it said.

(This story has been corrected to fix the year of the euro zone debt crisis in paragraph 6)

(Reporting by Marc Jones; Editing by Emelia Sithole-Matarise)

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
US prosecutors meeting with Boeing, crash victims as criminal charging decision looms, sources say
US prosecutors meeting with Boeing, crash victims as criminal charging decision looms, sources say
Jun 30, 2024
NEW YORK (Reuters) -U.S. prosecutors are meeting with Boeing ( BA ) and fatal-crash victims' relatives as a July 7 deadline looms for the Justice Department to decide whether to criminally charge the planemaker, according to two people familiar with the matter and correspondence reviewed by Reuters. Justice Department officials met with Boeing ( BA ) lawyers on Thursday to...
BIS sends government debt warning before important elections
BIS sends government debt warning before important elections
Jun 30, 2024
LONDON (Reuters) - The Bank for International Settlements warned on Sunday that rising government debt levels amid a number of major elections this year could roil global financial markets. Dubbed the central bankers' central bank, the BIS said the world economy was now on course for the smooth landing that many economists doubted when interest rates shot up, but said...
Saudi Aramco signs second phase of its Jafurah gas field
Saudi Aramco signs second phase of its Jafurah gas field
Jun 30, 2024
CAIRO, June 30 (Reuters) - Saudi Arabia's state oil company Aramco has signed contracts for the second phase of the expansion of its Jafurah gas field and the third phase of expanding its main gas network, state-run Al-Ekhbariya TV reported on Sunday. ...
Atos reaches deal in principle with creditors on restructuring, says media report
Atos reaches deal in principle with creditors on restructuring, says media report
Jun 30, 2024
PARIS (Reuters) - French technology company Atos (ATOS.PA) reached an agreement in principle with its creditors overnight to restructure its debt, French business newspaper Les Echos said on Sunday. Atos announced last Wednesday that a consortium led by investor David Layani's Onepoint had withdrawn from discussions on its restructuring. Abandoned by David Layani, creditors and banks ended up finding, alone,...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved