LONDON, Nov 6 (Reuters) - Hedge funds including BlueBay
were turning their attentions to crude oil, U.S. Treasuries,
tech and U.S. banks on Wednesday, after Donald Trump was elected
president.
Trump's victory gives him a clear mandate to implement his
policy agenda, which includes plans to cut U.S. corporate taxes,
said Russel Matthews, lead portfolio manager of BlueBay's macro
hedge fund in London, part of the $468 billion asset manager RBC
Global Asset Management.
A macro hedge fund uses financial instruments to make bets
on the economic health of a country.
As U.S. Treasury yields climbed to four-month highs in the
wake of the election result, Matthews said he had seen "glimmers
of bond vigilantism being back," in a reference to investors
dumping or shorting government debt over worries about higher
borrowing. A short bet expects asset values to decline.
U.S. Treasury prices fell sharply on Wednesday as yields
rose - 30-year yields hit a roughly six-month high of 4.68%
.
"Irresponsible fiscal policies and growing debt piles -
there is a point at which the market just starts to revolt
against that," said Matthews.
BlueBay's hedge fund strategy as of Wednesday, was short
30-year U.S. Treasuries and long 10-year German Bunds
, he said, adding the firm was long the dollar and
short the euro and pound .
The dollar was up almost 2% against a basket of
currencies, and on track for its biggest one-day jump in four
years.
A steeper bond yield curve might aid undervalued finance
firms like Citigroup ( C/PN ), said Matein Khalid, chief investment
officer of family office Phoenix Holdings in Dubai.
Banks will likely benefit from easier financial regulations
on capital, risk management, asset management and mergers and
acquisitions which have been floated as possible Trump policies,
Khalid added.
Nick Ferres, CIO of Vantage Point Asset Management in
Singapore agreed and added that Asia-Pacific banks would also
benefit from growth and higher yields under Trump.
Whereas in the long run, tech stocks may fare differently,
suggested Dan Taylor chief investment officer of Man Numeric, a
fund within the $174.9 billion hedge fund Man Group ( MNGPF ).
The so-called "Magnificent 7" biggest tech firms, whose
stocks have benefited in the last two years from positive
sentiment from not only hedge funds but investors, globally
might face headwinds under a Trump presidency, said Taylor.
"One would think less regulation would be good for big tech
companies, but they may end up the exception if Trump and policy
makers see them as too powerful and hostile to national
interest," he told Reuters.
"It wouldn't be a stretch to imagine one of them being
broken up. There is precedent for that in the U.S., in terms of
large companies seen as pseudo monopolies getting broken up. We
could see this again."
'DRILL, DRILL, DRILL'
Trump's support of the oil industry, including easing
environmental regulations, could result in lower crude oil
prices.
"Trump has said he will 'drill, drill, drill,' which will
increase U.S. supply," said Sam Berridge, a portfolio manager at
the Strategic Natural Resources Fund, a part of the larger A$7
billion ($4.61 billion) Perennial Value Management, in Perth,
Australia.
"A balancing factor may be a more aggressive stance on Iran
oil exports should the U.S. impose stiffer sanctions. This would
be supportive for oil prices but it's difficult to say by how
much as most of Iran's oil exports go to China," he said.