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BofA targets 16%-18% ROTCE to narrow gap with rivals
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ROTCE forecast in line with Wall Street expectations
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Net interest income to grow 5%-7% annually over the next
five
years
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CEO says consumers remain healthy
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Shares fall
By Saeed Azhar, Arasu Kannagi Basil and Nivedita Balu
BOSTON, Nov 5 (Reuters) - Bank of America ( BAC ) raised
a closely watched profitability target on Wednesday as CEO Brian
Moynihan laid out a plan to catch up with Wall Street rivals
that includes tech investments and an expansion strategy.
Moynihan and other top executives are convening in Boston
for the bank's first investor day since 2011 to answer concerns
about returns that have trailed peers.
BofA is targeting a 16% to 18% return on tangible common
equity - a metric investors use to assess a bank's performance -
in the medium term, compared with its earlier forecast of a
mid-teens return, aiming to narrow the gap.
The bank generated a 15.4% ROTCE in the third quarter, while
larger rival JPMorgan ( JPM ) achieved a 20% ROTCE in the same
period, filings showed. BofA's target matched analysts'
expectations.
"ROTCE goals put BofA in the upper tier of peers. New
targets appear achievable, though not particularly aggressive,"
Argus Research analyst Stephen Biggar said.
Analysts said BofA will have to earn credibility as
investors look for proof the goals will be reached. Barclays
said the ROTCE target could have been better by 100 basis points
to please investors.
Shares of BofA, which fell 3% early, were down nearly 1.5%
in late-afternoon trade.
EXPANSION TO SIX U.S. CITIES
As part of the plan, BofA is aiming to expand in six
additional cities through 2028, including in Alabama, Louisiana
and Ohio. The move would give it access to over $222 billion in
deposits, targeting student, family and employee banking and a
footprint in 85% of U.S. households.
"We will truly cover America in a densified - all eight
lines of business - focused way. A nationwide franchise for this
density and this capability in all those cities is a unique
advantage," Moynihan said.
He later told reporters the bank has no plans for
acquisitions outside the United States, but could look at U.S.
payment businesses. In 2021, BofA acquired Axia Technologies, a
healthcare payment and technology company.
Moynihan also said the bank's increasing use of artificial
intelligence will change the amount of work done by employees,
but added it will not necessarily lower headcount.
"What I can see is changing the amount of work per thing
done."
For investment banking, another key business, BofA aims to
increase its share of fees by between 50 and 100 basis points in
the next three to five years, seeking to catch up as it has
consistently lagged rivals JPMorgan ( JPM ) and Goldman Sachs ( GS ).
The M&A pipeline was improving, business head Matthew Koder
said. "More larger deals than ever before ... more sole or lead
adviser positions than ever before," he told investors.
On the trading front, BofA is aiming to capture 9% of the
industry revenue pool in the medium term. It now has a 7.6%
market share.
The wealth business is targeting 4% to 5% net new asset
growth in the medium term, adding fee-generating assets
worth $135 billion to $150 billion annually.
"Market share gains are much easier said than done, and
peers will also be stepping up their game as the investment
banking environment continues to improve," Biggar noted.
CONSUMER CREDIT STABLE
BofA said U.S. economic growth remains solid even as
employment data shows signs of weakness, with consumer spending
up 5% this year based on the bank's data. Consumer credit is
stable, BofA said.
"Consumers remain active ... Employment remained steady. We
can see that in the paychecks coming into our consumer
accounts," Moynihan said.
However, Moynihan said he was mindful of regulatory changes.
"We're all watching further regulatory changes, government debt
levels and the impact on the economy, trade policies."
BofA expects net interest income - the difference between
what banks earn on loans and pay on deposits - to grow by 5% to
7% annually over the next five years, driven by loan growth and
fixed-rate asset repricing. Profit per share is expected to grow
more than 12%.
Following a rocky start after Moynihan took the helm in 2010 in
the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis, he engineered a
momentous turnaround, driven by an oft-repeated mantra of
"responsible growth," but investors are urging the bank to make
a higher return on its investments.