SAO PAULO, Feb 6 (Reuters) - Brazilian lender Itau
Unibanco ( ITUB ) expected its default ratio to remain
relatively stable in 2025, Chief Executive Milton Maluhy Filho
said on Thursday, but noted some "upward volatility" was not out
of question.
Brazil's largest bank released on Wednesday its
fourth-quarter results and forecasts for this year, including a
slowdown in credit growth, as well as extraordinary dividends.
"Naturally, there may be some upward volatility, but at
levels very similar to what we are observing," Maluhy Filho told
reporters when asked about Itau's default ratio.
In the fourth quarter, the lender's 90-day default ratio
stood at 2.4%, down from 2.6% in the previous three-month period
and 2.8% a year earlier.
The bank estimated a 4.5% to 8.5% expansion in the total
credit portfolio this year, against 15.5% growth last year. The
2024 result, however, exceeded the guidance of a 9.5% to 12.5%
increase.
Even with a more difficult macroeconomic scenario, prospects
are for a very strong result in 2025, with profitability still
above 20%, the chief executive said. In 2024, Itau's return on
equity (ROE) was 22.2%.
Maluhy Filho also signaled that more extraordinary dividends
are likely going forward.
"Other things held constant, from what we see today, at the
end of the year we'll do as we are doing at the beginning of the
year - another extra dividend payout," he said. "Our goal is not
to retain excess capital."
Itau's shares were nearly flat in Sao Paulo trading on
Thursday, as analysts considered the bank's fourth-quarter
numbers solid but the forecasts for the year conservative.
"We think Itau continues to post best-in-class results among
Brazil incumbent banks, although the set of earnings, dividends,
and guidance did not bring major positive surprises," analysts
at Goldman Sachs said.