Nov 3 (Reuters) - Investors are overlooking mounting
risks to the current market stability and the limits of the
artificial intelligence boom, particularly in the United States,
Bridgewater Associates' co-chief investment officers said in a
note to clients on Monday.
While major technology firms have poured billions into AI
and its supporting infrastructure, it is still unclear whether
those investments will generate the cash flows needed to sustain
lofty expectations, they said.
The comments underscore growing unease over a potential
market bubble, as the benchmark S&P 500 continues its
meteoric rise, repeatedly setting record highs and reviving
memories of the dot-com era.
"U.S. equities are priced as though the favorable conditions
that lifted all companies, not just tech, will persist," the
investment firm's co-CIOs Bob Prince, Greg Jensen and Karen
Karniol-Tambour said.
"The growth expectations discounted today are about as
optimistic as they've been in nearly 100 years, with the brief
exception of the dot-com bubble," they said.
Markets, however, have largely shrugged off worries about
inflation, high interest rates, policy uncertainty from shifting
trade dynamics and the second-longest federal government
shutdown.
The S&P 500 has climbed roughly 16% year-to-date, and
is now entering a seasonally strong stretch for equities.
"Despite the many potential sources of volatility in the
world today, market measures of risk remain unfazed,"
Bridgewater co-CIOs said, adding that the current environment
carries "an uncomfortably high probability of unknowable and
extreme outcomes".
Bridgewater, founded by billionaire investor Ray Dalio, is
widely considered to be one of the world's most successful hedge
funds.
"AI infrastructure, including chips, buildings, routers and
other networking gear, will become obsolete as the technology
advances rapidly," said David Spreng, CEO at venture debt firm
Runway Growth Capital.
"I just don't think that AI infrastructure is a good bet
from a venture debt perspective right now. The risks are not
symmetrical."