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California asks for $1 billion to support FAIR plan
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Highlights challenges of state's insurance market
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Industry braces for $35 billion loss
By Niket Nishant and Manya Saini
Feb 12 (Reuters) - California's levy of $1 billion on
private insurers to help pay out wildfire claims in its
state-run program has renewed focus on the challenges the
industry faces in a market already losing appeal rapidly,
analysts said.
Stringent regulations and recurring wildfires have driven
some insurers away from the state in recent years, as companies
scale back from risky geographies where frequent natural
disasters are leading to billions in losses.
"The insurance regulatory environment in California is not
very friendly to the industry and major changes will be needed
if the state wants the private market to resume writing new
business," analysts at Roth MKM said.
The devastating blaze that scorched entire neighborhoods in
Los Angeles in January is expected to be the costliest wildfire
in U.S. history for the insurance industry, with some expecting
losses as high as $35 billion.
In addition, companies will now be required to contribute $1
billion to California's Fair Access to Insurance Requirements
(FAIR) plan - also called the "insurer of last resort" - which
offers coverage to those who cannot secure private insurance.
The industry has been battered by escalating losses in
recent years due to severe weather events. Limited flexibility
to adjust premiums also makes California a less attractive
market for insurers.
As of September 2024, there were 451,799 FAIR Plan policies
in force, up 41% from 2023.
California's insurance commission did not immediately
respond to a Reuters request for comment.
RISING COSTS, SHRINKING COVERAGE
An insurer exodus could limit options for the 39 million
residents in the state and put a further strain on their
finances.
"Tales of California residents finding it ever more
expensive to get insurance are legion, assuming they can get it
at all," Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell, told
Reuters.
Insurers will be permitted to charge a temporary fee to
customers to pass on half the costs related to their FAIR bill.
"California property owners will ultimately be billed
through their insurers to fund the FAIR Plan's assessment," said
Michael Ashley Schulman, partner and CIO at Running Point
Capital Advisors.
"This is a significant event for California insurers but
also a bit of a relief because it seems to put a cap on what the
state will ask from insurance companies, and they can now adjust
their premium charges to account for this extra expense."
Industry bellwether Travelers and Zurich-based Chubb
have estimated losses of roughly $1.7 billion and $1.5
billion, respectively, from the wildfires.
"It is going to be a big event for the industry," Travelers
CEO Alan Schnitzer said in an earnings call last month,
referring to the impact the wildfires will have on company
balance sheets.
LA-based Mercury General ( MCY ) currently expects
catastrophe losses in the range of $1.6 billion to $2 billion
while Allstate ( ALL ) has forecast about $1.1 billion of
losses, pre-tax, net of reinsurance.
Meanwhile, AIG - one of the world's largest
commercial insurers - said it expects net losses to be roughly
$500 million, before reinstatement premiums.
AIG CEO Peter Zaffino in a post-earnings call said the
company had reduced its overall California exposure beginning in
2022. The retreat coupled with reinsurance has kept losses tied
to the wildfires under check.
"I think that in California we just saw that, the modeling
is flawed... some of these states set up vehicles that become a
market of last resort, which sometimes become the market of only
resort and then they end up taking on a lot of aggregate,"
Zaffino added.
Concerns over rising catastrophe losses have also weighed on
investors, with the S&P 500 property and insurance index edging
up just 0.2% this year, lagging the broader financial industry's
6.2% gain.