TORONTO, Aug 28 (Reuters) - Royal Bank of Canada ( RY )
executives on Wednesday said they were cautious about the impact
economic uncertainties would have on consumers after the
country's No. 1 lender surpassed quarterly profit estimates that
pushed shares higher.
CEO Dave McKay told analysts the caution came amid
uncertainty on the pace of interest rate cuts that could affect
consumers repricing their mortgages next year and the bank's net
interest income as deposit costs rise.
"We are trying to express it's uncertain and it's volatile
... there are some unknowns out there that we're trying to
manage, but we feel we can manage them quite well," McKay said.
"It's hard to see exactly how fast rates come down and it
impacts consumers, but we wanted to be just a little bit
cautious there."
Bank of Canada has cut its interest rates this year, with
money markets expecting a couple more later this year, while the
U.S. Federal Reserve is expected to begin its cuts later this
year.
While low interest rates reduce the burden for mortgage
owners, banks will have to spend more to retain deposits from
consumers as they move their money to investments that could pay
more. That in turn, could hurt margins, while the banks continue
to set aside funds to shield against bad loans.
Third quarter results were also powered by a 17% rise in
earnings at RBC's personal and commercial banking segment to
C$2.49 billion ($1.85 billion), of which C$198 million came from
its C$13.5 billion acquisition of HSBC's domestic operations.
Canada's biggest bank by market capitalisation, RBC has
moved to rejig its upper ranks and change its reporting segments
while absorbing HSBC's 780,000 clients and C$71 billion loan
book in the country.
"Royal reported a standout quarter ... (its) earnings are
gaining the lift of a full quarter's inclusion from HSBC,"
Jefferies analyst John Aiken wrote.
The lender's shares rose 2.6%.
A resurgence in dealmaking activity amid expectations of a
soft landing drove a 23% jump in net income at RBC's capital
market business.
Smaller peer National Bank of Canada ( NTIOF ) also reported
better-than-expected quarterly earnings, helped by a smaller
loan-loss provision for the quarter and growth at its capital
markets unit. Shares were up about 5%.
The Montreal-based lender is also focusing on growth at
home, expanding from Canada's east coast to west coast through
its C$2.5 billion acquisition of Canadian Western Bank ( CWESF ).
The deal is awaiting regulatory approval.
The results are in contrast with others from Canada's big
five banks that have reported so far, which were dragged down by
credit pressures or provisions for penalties related to U.S.
investigations.
RBC's net interest income (NII) - the difference between
what a bank earns on loans and pays out on deposits - rose
16.5%.
Provisions for credit losses came in at C$659 million,
compared with analysts' estimate of C$903 million, according to
LSEG data.
On a per share basis, the bank earned C$3.26 compared with
the average analyst estimate of C$2.95.
National Bank's earnings of C$2.68 per share were more than
the expected C$2.49 per share.
($1 = 1.3457 Canadian dollars)