*
Global oil prices at four-year lows after tariff-related
selloff
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Canadian oil production growth this year could be limited
if
lower prices persist, economists say
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Canadian companies holding off on making changes for now
(Adds comments from Cenovus, Tourmaline, investor)
By Amanda Stephenson
TORONTO, April 8 (Reuters) - CEOs of Canadian oil and
gas producers said on Tuesday they are seeking to avoid making
abrupt decisions about spending or production, as global oil
prices hit four-year lows and recession fears grow.
Canada, the world's No. 4 oil exporter, was spared the Trump
administration's broad global tariffs on April 2 but faces U.S.
tariffs on steel and cars.
"My suspicion is that most companies will work to invest
through this cycle, though I would also say that in price
downturns, this industry does a really good job of shedding
costs," said Jon McKenzie, CEO of oil sands producer Cenovus
Energy ( CVE ), in an interview in Toronto. "We'll probably see
some cost reductions throughout the industry."
Doug Bartole, CEO of InPlay Oil ( IPOOF ), said his company
does not foresee reducing production or capital spending in the
short term.
"Don't make any rash decisions. Let's take a longer view of
things and see where it all settles out," Bartole said.
But he said that could change if oil continues its slide.
"I think $50 oil would change things a bit more, obviously,"
Bartole said. "We can easily pull back capital. We're a small
company, we're nimble. We make decisions quick."
On Tuesday, ATB Capital Markets lowered its price target for
InPlay shares, citing "the current WTI pricing environment."
Brent futures and West Texas Intermediate crude futures have
slumped since U.S. President Donald Trump's April 2 announcement
of broad tariffs.
Oil prices fell further on Tuesday, trading around $60 per
barrel, over recession fears exacerbated by trade conflict
between the United States and China.
ATB said in a research note it still expects Canadian
production to grow this year, but warned sustained lower oil
prices would pressure companies to limit spending and constrain
output growth.
"If we do go into a recession and prices are a bit lower,
then it could ultimately affect our capital plans," said Mike
Rose, CEO of Tourmaline Oil ( TRMLF ), in an interview.
Peter Tertzakian, economist and founder of think tank
Studio.Energy, said Canada's biggest oil sands companies can be
profitable at lower prices, but smaller, higher-cost operators
may revise their capital budgets if prices do not rebound.
"It's a question of whether there's enough (money) to grow,
and if $61-$62 is sustained for the balance of the year, we're
not likely to grow very much," Tertzakian said.
Eric Nuttall, senior portfolio manager with Ninepoint
Partners, does not expect much loss of Canadian production this
year.
But he added he would not be surprised to see job losses,
especially in the drilling sector and among smaller producers.
"Companies are going to be proactive, they're not going to
sit around and wait," he said. "Where there's discretionary
expenditures to be cut, you're going to be seeing that in real
time."
Chris Carlsen, CEO of Canadian natural gas producer
Birchcliff Energy ( BIREF ), said the slide in oil prices could
benefit natural gas producers in the long term if it leads to an
overall reduction in North American drilling.
"When they're drilling less oil, there's less associated gas
with that, which means we could be short on the natural gas
production side," Carlsen said.