07:22 AM EST, 01/24/2025 (MT Newswires) -- Cap rates continue to drift up across various sectors of
Canadian commercial real estate, with
multifamily/apartments a notable mover, said Bank of Montreal (BMO).
Across Canada's major cities, class B apartment cap rates
now sit anywhere from 3% to 6%, with most clustered in
the 4%-to-5% range (according to CBRE's survey), noted the bank.
Toronto's rate, which had of course been a very active investor market, is now up to 4.5% versus the low-3% range at the height of the boom, stated BMO.
The last time Toronto saw cap rates at this level was around 2015/16. At that time, 10-year risk-free Government of Canada bonds were yielding about 1.5% versus 3.3% today, pointed out the bank. Typical
residential mortgage borrowing costs were around 2.5%-
to-3% versus 4%-to-4.5% of today.
In other words, while cap rates have risen, the relationship between the returns that investors are getting in Toronto real estate, associated borrowing costs and risk-free alternatives still doesn't 'pencil', added BMO.
In the meantime, the bank looks for cap rates to keep pushing higher unless interest rates suddenly fall "significantly."