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CERAWEEK-AI, LNG demand to keep US natgas use at record highs but bottlenecks threaten
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CERAWEEK-AI, LNG demand to keep US natgas use at record highs but bottlenecks threaten
Mar 12, 2025 1:45 PM

*

Record natgas demand since nearly 2010 seen extending to

2025,

2026

*

Power costs up 35% in past 4 years amid lack of gas

pipeline

capacity -EQT

*

US LNG capacity will almost double over the next few years

*

NextEra sees 55% jump in power demand in next 20 yrs, 17%

of

that from AI

By Georgina McCartney and Scott DiSavino

HOUSTON, March 12 -

U.S. natural gas use is set to continue hitting record highs

due to soaring liquefied natural gas (LNG) demand and power

consumption from data centers, executives said at a conference

this week, while also warning a lack of infrastructure could

hurt the industry.

The U.S. is the world's largest gas producer and is expected

to produce some 105.2 billion cubic feet per day (bcfd) this

year, according to U.S. government data. Demand has already hit

a record nearly each year since 2010, but some markets in the

U.S. have been hampered by lack of available pipeline space.

Pipeline capacity has not caught up with production after a

series of project cancellations over the last eight years,

according to Toby Rice, CEO of EQT, the No. 2 U.S. gas

producer.

This has contributed to a 35% rise in electricity costs for

U.S. consumers in the last four years, he said.

"We have the gas, we just don't have the pipelines to get it

to places, so now you see a situation where it doesn't matter

how much we produce," Rice said in an interview on the sidelines

of the conference.

"Energy bills are still going up as political forces have

overridden market forces."

EQT's 300-mile (483-km) Mountain Valley pipeline, which

transports up to 2 bcfd of gas from West Virginia to Virginia,

ran at full capacity last winter, Rice said.

The project was slated to cost $3.5 billion, but ultimately

costs totaled $8 billion following eight years of delays, Rice

said.

Moving gas from the Permian basin in Texas and New Mexico

and other shale regions in the Northeast U.S. or Midcontinent

for LNG exports requires significant pipeline investment, said

Pierce Norton, president and CEO of pipeline company, ONEOK ( OKE )

.

"That requires a lot of pipe to get it down here," he said,

referring to the U.S. Gulf Coast.

LNG DEMAND, DATA CENTERS

The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) projected

total gas consumption, including exports, would rise from a

record 102.3 bcfd in 2024 to 105.5 bcfd in 2025, and 107.6 bcfd

in 2026.

Booming LNG exports should remain the biggest source of gas

demand growth in coming years, according to a federal energy

outlook. U.S. LNG exports have hit record highs every year since

2016 when the first major LNG export facility in the U.S. lower

48 states came online.

Freeport LNG's plant in Texas is running its pipe

infrastructure at full capacity, its CEO, Michael Smith, said at

the conference.

The U.S. became the world's biggest LNG supplier in 2023,

surpassing Australia and Qatar.

With plants currently under construction, U.S. LNG capacity

will almost double from around 13.8 bcfd in 2024 to 24.7 bcfd in

2028.

The industry has also received a boost from U.S. President

Donald Trump, who in January lifted a moratorium on new LNG

export plant permits imposed by his predecessor.

Surging demand from power-hungry data centers that are

fueling a boom in artificial intelligence is also expected to

push up demand for natural gas.

The world's largest renewable energy producer NextEra

Energy ( NEE/PN ) expects a 55% jump in power demand over the next

20 years versus the prior two decades, CEO John Ketchum said,

with some 17% of that demand growth expected to come from the

boom in AI.

Benchmark Henry Hub natural gas futures hit their

highest since December 2022 at $4.49 per million British thermal

units on Monday, having settled below $4 per million British

thermal units every day last year and most of 2023, according to

data from LSEG.

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