(Adds more comment from CEO, background)
By Arathy Somasekhar
HOUSTON, March 18 (Reuters) -
Global oil demand will not peak for some time so policy
makers need to ensure sufficient investment in oil and gas to
meet consumption and abandon the fantasy of phasing out the
fossil fuels, Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser said on
Monday.
The head of the world's largest energy company urged a
re-set of global energy transition plans in remarks to oil and
gas executives at the CERAWeek conference in Houston.
Oil demand will reach a new record of 104 million
barrels per day (bpd) in 2024, Nasser said. Despite growing
investment, alternative energy has yet to displace hydrocarbons
at scale, Nasser said.
"All this strengthens the view that peak oil and gas is
unlikely for some time to come, let alone 2030," he said.
Rising demand from developing economies could feed oil
demand growth through 2045, he said.
This forecast for long-term demand growth is in line
with forecasts from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting
Countries and in contrast to the 2030 forecast for peak demand
from the West's energy watchdog, the International Energy
Agency.
The
two are far apart
on both short-term and long-term demand forecasts, in part
because of their contrasting views on the energy transition.
Reducing greenhouse gas emissions from hydrocarbons through
carbon capture and other technologies achieves better results
than alternative energies, Nasser said.
New energy sources and technologies should only be
introduced when they are genuinely ready, and economically
competitive, he added.
Shipping disruption in the Red Sea due to attacks by Yemen's
Houthi group had "made a tight situation tighter" in shipping
markets, he said.
The Iran-aligned group has been attacking ships in the
Red Sea and Gulf of Aden since November in what they say is a
campaign of solidarity with Palestinians during
Israel's war with Hamas
in Gaza.
Oil is taking 2-3 weeks longer to reach its destination
as vessels are rerouted to avoid the area, he added.
The shipping issues had little impact on Saudi Aramco,
he said, in part because of its East West pipeline. That
pipeline allows Aramco to load ships north of the area that the
Houthis have attacked.
Europe has become a bigger market for Aramco because of
the Red Sea shipping issues, he said.
Nasser reiterated that Aramco has 3 million bpd of spare
capacity to meet any unexpected disruptions in global supply.