financetom
Business
financetom
/
Business
/
China's consumer prices swing up on seasonal Lunar New Year gains
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
China's consumer prices swing up on seasonal Lunar New Year gains
Mar 10, 2024 4:06 PM

BEIJING (Reuters) -China's consumer prices rose for the first time in six months due to spending linked to the Lunar New Year, offering some reprieve for the world's second-biggest economy grappling with weak consumer sentiment, while factory-gate prices fell again.

The consumer price index (CPI) climbed 0.7% year-on-year in February, data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) showed on Saturday, beating the 0.3% gain forecast by economists in a Reuters poll.

The year-on-year growth in consumer prices was also the highest in 11 months, buoyed by gains in some key foodstuffs such as pork and fresh vegetables, as well as travel amid a seasonal rush around Lunar New Year in February, according to the NBS data.

The bounce into positive territory contrasted with the 0.8% fall in January, the steepest drop in over 14 years, due to a higher statistical base in January 2023 as the Lunar New Year arrived earlier that month and boosted spending.

While other recent indicators, such as much stronger-than-expected trade figures this week, have suggested improvement in some parts of the economy, analysts warn that a full-throttled recovery is not yet in the cards.

"It is too early to conclude that deflation in China is over," said Zhiwei Zhang, president and chief economist at Pinpoint Asset Management.

"Domestic demand is still quite weak. Property sales of new apartments have not stabilised yet."

In February this year, CPI rose 1.0% month-on-month, outpacing the 0.3% uptick in January and the 0.7% growth forecast by economists.

But the producer price index (PPI) fell 2.7% from a year earlier in February versus a 2.5% drop the previous month. That was faster than a 2.5% decline forecast in the Reuters poll. Producer prices have declined for more than 1-1/2 years.

The risk of deflation due to continued weak demand remains one of the main drags on China's overall growth.

In January-February, CPI was unchanged from a year earlier, with food prices down 3.4% and non-food prices 0.9% lower.

China has been grappling with sub-par growth over the past year amid an entrenched debt crisis among the country's property developers that had crushed home-buying sentiment and rocked what was once a mighty pillar of the economy.

Weak international trade flows, declining domestic investment, and high local government debt further sapped economic growth. Policymakers have pledged to roll out new measures, promising to unleash "new productive forces".

The head of China's central bank said on Wednesday there was room to cut the amount of cash that commercial banks set aside as reserves, following 50 basis points of cuts in banks' reserve ratio requirement (RRR) in January, the biggest in two years.

Premier Li Qiang on Tuesday announced an ambitious economic growth target of around 5%, although economists said the goal would be harder to reach as a post-COVID recovery loses steam. The International Monetary Fund has predicted China's growth to ease to 4.6% from 5.2% last year.

Li also set a 2024 inflation target of 3%, in line with goals set since 2015. Consumer prices rose 0.2% last year, missing the government's target.

"We only expect a modest recovery in CPI and PPI inflation despite the CPI inflation target of 3%, and a deeper property downturn may pose greater deflationary risk," said economists at UBS in a research note this week.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Iovance Biotherapeutics Seeks European Regulator's Approval of Marketing Authorization Application for Advanced Melanoma Treatment
Iovance Biotherapeutics Seeks European Regulator's Approval of Marketing Authorization Application for Advanced Melanoma Treatment
Jun 28, 2024
09:44 AM EDT, 06/28/2024 (MT Newswires) -- Iovance Biotherapeutics ( IOVA ) said Friday it has applied for marketing authorization from the European Medicines Agency for lifileucel, which is intended for the treatment of adults with advanced melanoma. The company said the application is supported by positive clinical data from a trial in patients with advanced post-anti-PD1 melanoma. The application...
Airbus nears initial deal with Cebu for 70 jets, sources say
Airbus nears initial deal with Cebu for 70 jets, sources say
Jun 28, 2024
PARIS/MANILA, June 28 (Reuters) - Airbus is closing in on a preliminary deal with Philippine budget airline Cebu Air for dozens of narrow-body jets to be announced in the coming days, three people familiar with the matter said on Friday. Cebu Air, which operates as Cebu Pacific, and Airbus both declined to comment on any commercial discussions. The airline has...
Mind Medicine to Join Russell 2000, 3000 Indexes
Mind Medicine to Join Russell 2000, 3000 Indexes
Jun 28, 2024
09:39 AM EDT, 06/28/2024 (MT Newswires) -- Mind Medicine (MNMD) said Friday that it will join the Russell 2000 and 3000 Indexes, effective the same day. This membership also includes automatic inclusion in the large-cap Russell 1000 Index or small-cap Russell 2000 Index and relevant style indexes, the company said. Shares of the company were down more than 2% in...
Looking At Carvana's Recent Unusual Options Activity
Looking At Carvana's Recent Unusual Options Activity
Jun 28, 2024
Whales with a lot of money to spend have taken a noticeably bullish stance on Carvana ( CVNA ). Looking at options history for Carvana ( CVNA ) we detected 16 trades. If we consider the specifics of each trade, it is accurate to state that 62% of the investors opened trades with bullish expectations and 37% with bearish. From...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved