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Hapag-Lloyd ( HLAGF ) says demand so high, it can only serve
shippers on
long-term contracts
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Vizion says container bookings from China-US spike 277%
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Ship owners race to restart voyages canceled during China
shipping downturn
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Off-contract spot rates move higher
By Lisa Baertlein, Farah Master and Casey Hall
LOS ANGELES/HONG KONG, May 16 (Reuters) - Container ship
bookings for China-to-U.S. cargo have surged since the countries
declared a 90-day truce on punitive tit-for-tat tariffs last
weekend, operators said, spawning traffic jams at Chinese ports
and factories that could take weeks to clear.
U.S. importers of sneakers and sofas to construction
supplies and auto parts are racing to get goods in before the
deadline resets tariffs again, setting the stage for disruptions
that recall the global transport quagmire during the COVID-19
pandemic.
The cargo surge at major trade gateways like Shenzhen's
Yantian Port, which handles more than a quarter of China's
exports to the United States, has ship owners scrambling to
coordinate berths and adjust vessel schedules.
"The demand is so high that we can only serve customers who
have made long-term contracts with us," a spokesperson for
German container ship operator Hapag-Lloyd ( HLAGF ) told
Reuters. "We have hardly enough space for spontaneous bookings."
Container-tracking software provider Vizion said average
bookings for the seven days ended on Wednesday soared 277% to
21,530 20-foot equivalent units from the 5,709 TEU average for
the week ended May 5.
Owners of factories that make toys to holiday decor told
Reuters they are booking previously frozen cargo headed to U.S.
stores, including Walmart ( WMT ).
Lalo, for example, which sells its baby furniture online and
through retailers like Target ( TGT ) and Amazon.com ( AMZN ),
is among the companies that gave factories the green light to
move their finished orders.
"We had hundreds of thousands of units waiting to ship,"
said Lalo co-founder Michael Weider. "These products can now get
on the water."
"Everybody is very busy from my company, at my friend's
companies," said Richard Lee, CEO of NCL Logistics, in China's
southern metropolis of Shenzhen. "They are preparing a lot of
cargo, a lot of products, to be shipped immediately from China
to the U.S."
SECOND TSUNAMI?
The shipping surge will translate into a rush of arrivals at
U.S. West Coast ports in the coming weeks.
Still, industry experts, including the executive director of
the Port of Los Angeles - the busiest U.S. seaport and No. 1 for
ocean shipments from China, do not foresee a COVID-level tsunami
of cargo. Rather, they project a large, but manageable wave.
On Thursday, the off-contract spot rate from Shanghai to
Los Angeles shot up 16% from the prior week to $3,136 per
40-foot container, according to data from maritime consultancy
Drewry. That is less than half than in April 2024, but could
jump sharply on June 1 to about $6,000 per container if ship
owners push through rate increases.
In the early days of the pandemic, as now, cargo demand
spikes overwhelmed factories and container ships, kinking supply
chains. Shipping and retail experts said 90 days is not enough
time for most factories to fill new orders.
Fewer slots are available on cargo ships because vessel
owners had been culling China-to-U.S. voyages and schedules.
Now, ocean carriers are "cancelling cancellations" of sailings,
Drewry said.
Demand, however, is markedly different this time.
Trump's second-term tariffs have weakened U.S. retail sales,
homebuilding and manufacturing - key drivers of container
shipments.
Moreover, many U.S. companies are sitting on inventory
accumulated before Trump imposed tariffs on China and other
countries. And nobody knows what import duties will be when the
90-day deadline expires in August.
The Trump administration confirmed to Reuters that the U.S.
rate would reset to 54%, assuming no agreement is reached by the
deadline.
HIGH ANXIETY
Many retailers are prioritizing which products to order and
ship, said Jessica Dankert, vice president of supply chain for
the Retail Industry Leaders Association trade group, whose
members include Home Depot ( HD ), Gap and Dollar
General ( DG ).
"It's still 30% at the end of the day," said Jamie Salter,
CEO of Authentic Brands Group, referring to tariffs on China.
Authentic Brands owns and licenses clothing brands including
Reebok, Champion, and Forever 21.
Some large suppliers to Detroit's Big Three automakers told
Reuters that on customers' requests, they are flying in parts
from China and stockpiling them.
Others declined to add to inventories, saying they lacked
the space and funds to do so.
A Halloween goods exporter from the city of Yiwu in China,
who gave her English name, Cecilia, said tariff increases have
cut total orders in half this year and warned that prospective
buyers are running out of time.
"If you order now, you will have an anxious wait to see if
it will be too late," she said.
Jimmy Zollo, CEO at Joe and Bella, sells Chinese-made
clothing for adults who have trouble dressing themselves due to
arthritis, dementia or being in a wheelchair. He placed a new
order with his supplier even though the 90-day window could
close before he can take delivery.
"We're hopeful that a new trade agreement is implemented,
and the lowered tariffs do not expire," Zollo said.