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Scheduled weekly service withdrawals show impact of US
trade
policies
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MSC, COSCO and others deploy fewer ships from China to US
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Container ship operators also cancelling individual
voyages
By Lisa Baertlein
LOS ANGELES, May 9 (Reuters) - Major container shipping
companies are suspending at least six scheduled weekly routes
between China and the United States as President Donald Trump's
punishing tariffs on the world's top exporting country collapse
trade, maritime consultants said.
The ships on those routes have the combined capacity to
deliver 25,682 40-foot containers stuffed with toys, tennis
shoes, car parts and things U.S. manufacturers use to produce
goods each week - or more than 1.3 million 40-foot containers a
year, based on capacity data provided in customer advisories.
The service cuts, coupled with cancellations of individual
voyages, come as hulking container ship operators move to
mitigate fallout from Trump's erratic trade policies.
Policy makers, economists, and business owners have become
increasingly hungry for information on ocean trade, responsible
for 80% of the world's commerce, because it is a gauge of global
economic health.
"This is not the precursor, it is the proof of a drop in
economic activity," Simon Sundboell, CEO of Danish maritime data
provider eeSea, said of the container vessel capacity reductions
now underway.
The route suspensions include scheduled weekly services
operated by MSC, Zim and the Ocean Alliance that includes Cosco
, Evergreen, CMA-CGM and Orient Overseas
Container Line (OOCL), Sundboell said.
Four of the service cuts affect West Coast ports, one
impacts the East Coast and one hits the Gulf Coast, he said.
The container shipping companies culling those services
either declined to comment or did not immediately respond.
Maersk and Hapag-Lloyd's ( HLAGF ) Gemini
Alliance have not suspended services - even though both partners
experienced significant tariff-related China to U.S. booking
cuts in April and have swapped out some ships for smaller
vessels.
Representatives from the U.S. and China are meeting this
weekend in Switzerland after more than two months of stalemate
over trade.
BLANKETY BLANK
Global shipping companies use service suspensions and
cancellations of individual voyages, known as blank sailings, to
shelter profits by ensuring they do not have more ships on the
water than are needed by customers. That reduces unnecessary
overhead costs and keeps supply and demand in balance,
supporting competing off-contract spot rates.
Blank sailings increased significantly after the COVID
pandemic upended global trade in 2020 - and are part of why
global container ship operators have been enjoying record
profits.
Major U.S. retailers like Amazon.com ( AMZN ) and Walmart ( WMT )
, which account for nearly half of global container
trade, responded to Trump's 145% tariffs on China last month by
pausing or cancelling factory orders after those import duties
more than doubled the cost of goods made in China.
Canceled, or blanked, individual voyages on the vital
Transpacific route from Asia to North America surged from 9% in
week ended March 30 to 24% in week ended May 4, maritime
consultancy Drewry said in a podcast earlier this week.
Drewry's data shows blank sailings reduced capacity on the
Asia to West Coast North America routes by 20% in April and 12%
so far in May.
The cuts hit slightly harder on the North American East
Coast, reducing 22% in April and 18% thus far in May, the
consultancy said.
MSC, the world's largest container ship operator, in April
canceled 30% of its scheduled Transpacific voyages - more than
any other container carrier, said Daniela Ghimp, project manager
for ocean freight rate benchmarking at Drewry.
The Premier Alliance, composed of Ocean Network Express
(ONE), Hyundai Merchant Marine (HMM) and Yang Ming Marine
Transportation, leads so far in May with a 20% blank sailing
rate, Ghimp said.
ONE declined comment, while HMM and Yang Ming did not
immediately respond.
The full effect of Trump's tariffs will likely be delayed
until July, when overall U.S. container import volume could be
down 25% or more from the year earlier, said John McCown, senior
fellow at the Center for Maritime Strategy.
"Something's gotta give, and I believe either considerably
more capacity will have to be culled, or spot rates will start
to crash," said Alan Murphy, CEO of supply chain adviser
Sea-Intelligence.