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Company downsized IPO, priced below range
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Investors flag heavy Microsoft ( MSFT ) reliance
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Debut to test AI demand amid IPO uncertainty
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Stock indicated to open above $40 IPO price
(Updates with latest indications in paragraphs 1 and 4)
By Niket Nishant and Manya Saini
March 28 (Reuters) - CoreWeave's ( CRWV ) shares were
set to open nearly 18% above their offer price in their Nasdaq
debut on Friday, giving the Nvidia ( NVDA )-backed AI infrastructure firm
a potential valuation of $27.4 billion on a fully diluted basis.
A strong debut would be a welcome sign for the company,
especially since its lofty targets already took a hit on
Thursday when it had to downsize its initial public offering.
It may also offer hope to other IPO candidates that smooth
listings are achievable with tempered valuations, even at a time
when equity markets are already grappling with tariff-related
turmoil.
The stock was indicated to open at $47, compared with the
IPO price of $40.
"The U.S. IPO market is at an inflection point. This next
batch of deals will determine whether the U.S. IPO momentum
continues through the second quarter, or whether issuers decide
the risk now isn't worth it," said Samuel Kerr, head of equity
capital markets at Mergermarket.
The debut will also test the limits of the AI hype, given
increasing frustration over Big Tech's massive spending spree
and fears of competition from China's artificial intelligence
startup DeepSeek.
While investors have propelled AI-related companies such as
Nvidia ( NVDA ) and Microsoft ( MSFT ) to stratospheric
valuations, CoreWeave ( CRWV ) has stirred concerns among risk-averse
investors.
The company provides access to data centers and high-powered
Nvidia ( NVDA ) chips, which have become the most sought-after resource
in the race to develop AI applications.
However, 77% of CoreWeave's ( CRWV ) revenue last year came from just
its top two customers, including Microsoft ( MSFT ).
At its roadshow, some expressed worries about CoreWeave's ( CRWV )
heavy reliance on Microsoft ( MSFT ) as the tech behemoth's shifting AI
data center strategy could impact long-term demand for chips.
CoreWeave's ( CRWV ) capital-intensive business model also raised
questions about sustainability, sources said.
"I don't know how receptive the market's going to be," said
Kamran Ansari, managing partner at Kapital Ventures, noting that
while the growth of the company has been meteoric, its long-term
sustainability is yet to be tested.
CoreWeave ( CRWV ) had around $8 billion in debt as of last year. The
company said earlier this month it plans to use about $1 billion
of the IPO proceeds to pay down debt.
It also leases its 32 data centers and some equipment
instead of owning them, resulting in operating lease liabilities
of $2.6 billion.
While investors appear comfortable with the company's high
leverage since it has strong free cash flow, the risk of
commitments not being fulfilled remains a worry.
The startup has also consistently posted losses, and IPO
investors in the last few years have been wary of backing
companies with no history of profitability.
FROM CRYPTO TO AI
Founded as an Ethereum-focused crypto miner in 2017,
CoreWeave ( CRWV ) pivoted to AI a few years later. It shuttered its
mining business after Ethereum's 2022 upgrade, "The Merge,"
slashed rewards for miners.
It signed a five-year contract worth $11.9 billion with
OpenAI in the lead-up to the IPO, forging ties with the most
prominent startup in the industry.
CoreWeave's ( CRWV ) revenue has also grown at a breakneck pace,
climbing more than eight-fold last year.
But it may need to do more to convince investors.
"For most venture-backed deep tech startups, it's going to
take more than hype to make it through the public markets right
now," said Anthony Georgiades, founder and general partner at
Innovating Capital.
CoreWeave's ( CRWV ) shares are set to trade under the symbol "CRWV".
The IPO was underwritten by a syndicate of 18 banks, including
Morgan Stanley, J.P.Morgan and Goldman Sachs.