Aug 6 (Reuters) - "Never sell your bitcoin," Donald
Trump told a cheering crowd at a crypto convention in Nashville,
Tennessee in late July.
The Republican presidential candidate's speech was the
latest overture in his effort to court crypto-focused voters
ahead of November's election and offered a bevy of campaign
promises, including a plan for a state bitcoin reserve.
"If elected, it will be the policy of my administration to
keep 100% of all the bitcoin the U.S. government currently holds
or acquires into the future," Trump said, adding the funds would
serve as the "core of the strategic national bitcoin
stockpile."
Indeed, Trump isn't the only one with such a proposal. U.S.
Senator Cynthia Lummis has introduced legislation that would see
the U.S. government purchase one million bitcoin, around 5% of
total supply, while independent candidate Robert F Kennedy Jr
has suggested a government stockpile of four million bitcoin.
A strategic reserve would be one use for the massive amount
of bitcoin held by the U.S. government. The jury's out on what
it would be used for, whether it's feasible, or if it's even
welcome for the broader crypto market, though.
The U.S. government holds a bumper cache of crypto: around
$11.1 billion worth which includes 203,239 bitcoin tokens,
according to data firm Arkham Intelligence which said the pile
came from criminal seizures, including from online marketplace
Silk Road, which was shut down in 2013.
At current levels, the U.S. holds about 1% of overall global
bitcoin supply - which stands at about 19.7 million tokens,
according to Blockchain.com. Bitcoin's total supply is capped at
21 million coins.
To compare against big non-state investors, Michael Saylor's
Microstrategy ( MSTR ) holds about 226,500 bitcoin tokens, as
per second-quarter results. BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust
and Grayscale Bitcoin Trust hold 344,070 and
240,140 tokens respectively, according to data site
BitcoinTreasuries.
A government bitcoin stockpile could shore up bitcoin's
price.
"It would have a positive impact on price. It would have to
because we've never had such a limited supply commodity, albeit
digital, assume a new state of a reserve asset," said Mark
Connors, head of global macro at Onramp Bitcoin.
Yet such a reserve also means fewer tokens for crypto
investors to trade with and could leave them exposed if the
government ever sold part of its reserves.
"RFK talked about having 19% of bitcoin, the same amount of
the gold supply - I can't imagine a single bitcoiner would be
happy about that," Connors added.
Governments besides the United States also boast bumper
hoards of bitcoin, with BitcoinTreasuries reporting China is the
second largest government holder, with 190,000 coins.
'A LOT TO FIGURE OUT'
While the prospect of a national bitcoin reserve is
uncertain, crypto watchers are nonetheless pondering what form
it could take.
Connors suggested the Federal Reserve could manage the
reserves for the Treasury Department, as it does with gold. On
the other hand, the stockpile could be more akin to the
Strategic Petroleum Reserve, where both the president and
Congress have varying amounts of control, according to Frank
Kelly, senior political strategist at asset manager DWS Group.
"There's a lot to parse and figure out there," Kelly said.
There's also an irony that jars with many true bitcoin
believers: the digital asset intended to be decentralized and
free of government control becoming part of a state reserve.
Regardless of what happens with a bitcoin stockpile, many
market players are happy enough to see crypto becoming a
significant campaign talking point.
"There's a general view in the industry that both parties
are paying much more attention to digital assets," said Rahul
Mewawalla, CEO of Mawson Infrastructure Group ( MIGI ) which
operates data centers for bitcoin mining.
"The expectation is that will continue post November."