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Banks see immediate impact on trade, regulation from Trump
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Trade flows to be disrupted, StanChart CEO says
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Regulation has been "stifling", BNY CEO says
(Recasts, adds comments from JPMorgan ( JPM ) executive)
By Lawrence White and Sinead Cruise
LONDON, Jan 21 (Reuters) -
Bankers at JPMorgan ( JPM ) worked through the night in a
"war room" to try and assess the early impact of
U.S. President Donald Trump's administration on global
trade, regulation
and other matters, an executive at the bank said on
Tuesday.
"The last 24 hours are showing that there's going to be
a lot of changes that we all have to digest," JPMorgan Chase &
Co ( JPM ) head of asset and wealth management Mary Callahan
Erdoes told a panel discussion at the World Economic Forum in
Davos, Switzerland.
Trump said on Monday he will revoke nearly 80 executive
actions of the administration of former Democratic President Joe
Biden, with the Republican U.S. president adding he will also
implement an immediate freeze on new regulations and hiring.
"At JPMorgan ( JPM ) we have a war room set up to analyse and
evaluate each and every one of these, so they have been up all
night and are working on it."
"Time will tell but a lot of this is exactly what you
would do to have a very pro-business environment," Erdoes said,
reflecting on Trump's early executive order to ban remote
working for federal staff.
"Thank God the U.S. government has done it, and
hopefully that'll keep us ahead of other governments in the
world so we can continue to compete."
Global trade flows will suffer from "interesting ructions"
as the new administration of U.S. President Donald Trump settles
in, Standard Chartered ( SCBFF ) CEO Bill Winters told the Davos
meeting.
"We'll see what comes through in terms of tariffs...but we
know China is a big part of that in terms of having a gigantic
export surplus, and that will be under attack from all parts of
the world," Winters said.
Chinese officials are hopeful the country can avoid a repeat
of the bruising trade wars that drove a wedge between the
world's two economic superpowers during the last Trump
administration, despite the returning President's robust
comments on potential tariffs during his campaign.
Big globally-focused banks will be able to benefit from that
disruption in their roles connecting between markets, Winters
said, while locally-focused banks may struggle.
REGULATION HAS BEEN STIFLING
As well as disruption from the change in administration in
the United States, banks face a slew of fresh regulation even as
governments around the world try to prioritise growth.
"Look, regulation has been stifling," BNY CEO Robin Vince
said. "It's really against the whole purpose that governments
around the world have in trying to enable growth for their
countries."
The Bank of England said on Friday it would delay tougher
bank capital rules by a year to January 2027 to get clarity on
what the United States will do under Trump, prompting the
European Union to say it would also weigh its options.
The standards written by the global Basel Committee are the
final set of international reforms designed to make the banking
system safer after the 2008 global financial crisis, and are
meant to be implemented by member jurisdictions.
"This is a good time to take a step back and think about
what works in regulation and what doesn't," Winters said,
flagging his skepticism about where so-called 'end-game' Basel
3.1 bank capital regulation would land, given an array of delays
and revisions announced in several major markets.