LONDON/SINGAPORE, Jan 27 (Reuters) - Investors hammered
technology stocks on Monday, sending the likes of Nvidia ( NVDA )
and Oracle plummeting, as the emergence of a
low-cost Chinese artificial intelligence model cast doubts on
Western companies' dominance in this sector.
Startup DeepSeek last week launched a free assistant it says
uses less data at a fraction of the cost of incumbent players'
models, possibly marking a turning point in the level of
investment needed for AI.
Futures on the Nasdaq 100 slid almost 4%, suggesting
the index could see its biggest daily slide since September 2022
later on, if those losses are sustained. Those on the S&P 500
dropped 2%. Shares in AI chipmaker Nvidia ( NVDA ) fell 10%, rival
Oracle dropped 8% and AI data analytics company Palantir ( PLTR )
lost 7% in pre-market trading.
DeepSeek, which by Monday had overtaken U.S. rival ChatGPT
in terms of downloads on the Apple Store, offers the prospect of
a viable, cheaper AI alternative which has raised questions
about the sustainability of the level of spending and investment
on AI by Western companies, including Apple ( AAPL ) and
Microsoft ( MSFT ).
From Tokyo to Amsterdam, shares in AI players tumbled.
"We still don't know the details and nothing has been 100%
confirmed in regards to the claims, but if there truly has been
a breakthrough in the cost to train models from $100 million+ to
this alleged $6 million number this is actually very positive
for productivity and AI end users as cost is obviously much
lower meaning lower cost of access," Jon Withaar, a senior
portfolio manager at Pictet Asset Management, said.
The hype around AI has powered a huge inflow of capital into
the equity markets in the last 18 months in particular, as
investors have bought into the technology, inflating company
valuations and sending stock markets to record highs.
Little is known about the small Hangzhou startup behind
DeepSeek. Its researchers wrote in a paper last month that the
DeepSeek-V3 model, launched on Jan. 10, used Nvidia's ( NVDA ) H800 chips
for training, spending less than $6 million - the figure
referenced by Pictet's Withaar.
H800 chips are not top-of-the-line. Initially developed as a
reduced-capability product to get around restrictions on sales
to China, they were subsequently banned by U.S. sanctions.
'SPUTNIK MOMENT'
Marc Andreessen, the Silicon Valley venture capitalist, said
in a post on X on Sunday that DeepSeek's R1 model was AI's
"Sputnik moment", referencing the former Soviet Union's launch
of a satellite that marked the start of the space race in the
late 1950s.
"Deepseek R1 is one of the most amazing and impressive
breakthroughs I've ever seen - and as open source, a profound
gift to the world," he said in a separate post.
In Europe, ASML which counts Taiwan's TSMC
, Intel ( INTC ) and Samsung as its
customers, dropped almost 11%, while in Japan, startup investor
SoftBank Group slid more than 8%. Last week it
announced a $19 billion commitment to fund Stargate, a
data-centre joint venture with OpenAI.
Big Tech has ramped up spending on developing AI
capabilities and optimism over the possible returns has driven
stock valuations sky-high.
Nvidia ( NVDA ) alone has risen by over 200% in about 18 months and
trades at 56 times the value of its earnings, compared with a
53% rise in the Nasdaq, which trades at a multiple of 16
to the value of its constituents' earnings, according to LSEG
data.
Nick Ferres, chief investment officer at Vantage Point Asset
Management in Singapore said the market was questioning the
capex spend of the major tech companies.
Masahiro Ichikawa, chief market strategist at Sumitomo
Mitsui DS Asset Management said: "The idea that the most
cutting-edge technologies in America, like Nvidia ( NVDA ) and ChatGPT,
are the most superior globally, there's concern that this
perspective might start to change."
"I think it might be a bit premature," Ichikawa said.
(Additional reporting by Tom Westbrook and Ankur Banerjee in
Singapore; Graphics by Dhara Ranasinghe and Amanda Cooper;
Editing by Gerry Doyle and Jane Merriman)