Nov 7 (Reuters) - Democratic victories this week have
caught investors' attention, signaling a potential comeback
after the party's bruising defeat during last year's election.
A strong showing for congressional Democrats at the midterm
elections in 2026 could push and revive policies favoring
sectors sidelined by the GOP.
While Trump would still have to sign any legislation,
control of one or both chambers of Congress would hand Democrats
command over key committees, giving them the power to launch
investigations and call Trump officials to Capitol Hill for
public hearings.
Although markets are not pricing a full shift yet, investors
are watching some key sectors.
ENERGY AND CLEAN ENERGY
A Democratic victory in either chamber of Congress could
slow or reverse some of President Trump's measures against clean
energy projects.
Investors withdrew a record $8.6 billion from global
sustainable funds in the first quarter, according to research
from Morningstar, which attributed the outflows largely to
Trump's shift against climate and social initiatives.
The industry has since regained its footing, helped by
surging energy demand from the rapid growth of artificial
intelligence, which requires massive power for data centers.
The U.S. president has championed fossil fuels, pledging to
"drill, baby, drill" as part of a plan to boost oil and gas
output.
His administration also withdrew the U.S. from the Paris
climate accord and scrapped $7.56 billion in funding for clean
energy projects it said would not deliver adequate taxpayer
returns.
Democrats, who have championed climate action, are expected
to try to block much of that agenda if given the chance.
HEALTHCARE
Healthcare has been a major political flashpoint and a key
factor behind the ongoing U.S. government shutdown, now the
longest ever.
If Democrats took the Senate next year, they would likely
revive efforts to expand the Affordable Care Act, strengthen
Medicaid funding and push back against Trump's attempts to roll
back coverage mandates.
Such a shift would likely benefit health insurers with large
Medicaid and Affordable Care Act businesses. Hospital chains
could also gain from higher insured patient volumes.
CRYPTOCURRENCIES
The crypto industry and many tokens have boomed under
President Trump's crypto-friendly administration, with bitcoin
reaching multiple new highs. Democrats have opposed its
light-touch stance, warning of fraud, market manipulation, money
laundering and other risks.
After Tuesday's strong showing, Democrats may negotiate
harder on a major crypto bill in the Senate, potentially
weighing on some crypto tokens and listed crypto exchanges.
If they win the Senate next year, they may ramp up scrutiny
of any moves by the securities regulator that could give crypto
companies a free hand to launch new products.
FINANCIALS
The banking industry has benefited from looser oversight of
deals under Republican agencies, de-regulatory efforts aimed at
freeing up bank capital and the weakening of the Consumer
Financial Protection Bureau, which oversees consumer lending.
The S&P 500 banks index has jumped over 22% so far
this year, outperforming the benchmark S&P 500 index's
15.6% gain.
A Senate led by Democrats would have more power to
interrogate and potentially slow the de-regulatory changes.
BIG TECH
Progressives in Congress would also likely renew efforts to
rein in Big Tech, whose market dominance has expanded
dramatically. Rapid advances in artificial intelligence,
meanwhile, have deepened their influence.
While the current administration has focused on ensuring the
U.S. stays ahead of China in the AI race, Democrats may take a
harder line, scrutinizing Big Tech partnerships more closely and
tightening antitrust oversight.