LONDON, April 3 (Reuters) - Deutsche Bank warned on
Thursday of the risk of a crisis of confidence in the U.S.
dollar, saying major shifts in capital flow allocations could
take over from currency fundamentals and currency moves become
disorderly.
The dollar, the world's No.1 reserve currency, came under
broad-based selling pressure on Thursday as U.S. President
Donald Trump's latest tariff salvo raised concerns about U.S.
recession risks.
"Our overall message is that there is a risk that major
shifts in capital flow allocations take over from currency
fundamentals and that FX moves become disorderly," Deutsche
Bank's George Saravelos said in note.
He added an acceleration in the dollar's decline would be
unwelcome for global central banks.
"The last thing the ECB wants is an externally imposed
disinflationary shock from a loss in dollar confidence and a
sharp appreciation in the euro on top of tariffs," he said,
referring to the European Central Bank.
"Expect pushback. We are in the midst of dramatic regime
change in markets."
The dollar was last down over 1.5% against the euro and yen
and more than 1% against sterling.