BRUSSELS, July 3 (Reuters) - EU countries are wavering
over whether to back additional tariffs on Chinese-built
electric vehicles, highlighting Brussels' challenge in building
support for its largest trade case yet as Beijing threatens
wide-ranging retaliation.
Germany, whose carmakers made a third of their sales last
year in China, wants to stop the tariffs, according to a
government source, while France has been among the firmest
backers.
But a majority of countries are still weighing the pros and
cons of the escalating trade spat, according to an informal poll
by Reuters of EU governments.
The issue will be put to members in an advisory vote in the
coming weeks, the first official test of support in a landmark
case for the Commission. The EU initiated the probe without an
industry complaint, the first such trade case of this kind.
The bloc is set to confirm on Thursday provisional duties of
up to 37.6% on Chinese brands such as BYD, Geely
and SAIC, as well as on China-made models
of Tesla, BMW and other western automakers.
EU members will also vote in October if the Commission
proposes multi-year tariffs at the end of its investigation.
These would be blocked if a "qualified majority" if at least 15
countries representing 65% of the EU population votes against
them.
France, Italy and Spain, with 40% of the EU population, have
indicated they would back tariffs.
"Europe must defend itself if our companies are harmed and
do not compete on equal terms," Spain's economy ministry said.
However, the Czech Republic, Greece, Ireland and Poland were
still debating the issue, official and government sources said,
while Belgium has a caretaker government and the Dutch only got
a government this week.
NEGATIVE EFFECTS
Germany has stressed the need for a negotiated solution with
Beijing. Its automakers have said tariffs are the wrong
approach, with the negative effects outweighing any benefits.
Increasing the cost of EVs for consumers undermines the EU's
goal of being carbon-neutral by 2050, opponents say. Tesla has
said it will hike prices.
Beijing's retaliation could bring extra tariffs on EU
exports of cognac, pork or luxury cars.
The Commission says duties are needed to counter cheap
loans, land and raw materials and other subsidies and the goal
is a level playing field, not shutting Chinese car makers out,
as the United States' planned 100% tariff is likely to do.
Tariffs could also give the EU leverage in negotiations with
Beijing and push producers to make cars in the EU.
Hosuk Lee-Makiyama, director of thinktank the European
Centre for International Political Economy, said clear
majorities either way could embolden tariff opponents or
supporters. He added final positions at the end of the
investigation will depend on what Beijing offers in
negotiations.
"If we go to a vote then, it means negotiations have
failed," he said.
The EV investigation could just be the start for the EU as
it toughens its stance on Beijing, as its green and tech
companies trail global rivals, interviews with half a dozen
trade experts show.
They point to a 712-page updated report on Chinese state
interference and subsidies released in April as the strongest
sign yet that Brussels means business.
The document is by far the most extensive undertaken by the
Commission, showing it has learned a lesson from an
investigation into Chinese solar panels a decade ago, when it
did not impose tariffs and the EU's own industry collapsed.
It offers proof to back its assertions that China does not
play by the same rules and includes research into a wider range
of industries, beyond traditional ones such as steel, including
semiconductors, telecom equipment and renewable energy.
That leaves the door open to future cases.
"This is a report to set the scene and show how and why
Europe is changing its policies," said Alicia Garcia Herrero, a
senior fellow at Brussels-based economic thinktank Bruegel. "To
be frank, it's also a message especially for the German
chancellery."