06:35 AM EST, 11/29/2024 (MT Newswires) -- The eurozone's inflation rate Friday increased to 2.3% year over year in November, with 'core' stable at 2.7% year over year, noted ING.

The bank expected November's data to show an increase in headline inflation because of base effects, but some upward pressure from input prices is starting to become more pressing. Commodity prices, such as food and natural gas, have been on the rise again, which is starting to impact headline inflation, although that impact is fairly modest so far.

The substantial weakening of the euro against the US dollar adds to this modest upward pressure on inflation at the moment, stated ING.

At the same time, economic activity continues to show signs of weakness, wrote the bank in a note. While wage growth has come in hotter than expected in Q3, this is likely more of a 'last hurrah' than an accelerating trend.

The labor market is softening and ING expects that to come with moderating wage growth over the next year. With demand expected to remain weak, it doesn't look like the European Central Bank should be overly concerned about the current uptick in inflation. While December is likely to come in high again when it comes to headline inflation, moderation can be expected for early next year.

Core inflation remains high and has been stuck at 2.7% year over year for three months in a row. Some easing can be expected in the coming months, mainly from easing services inflation, according to the bank.

Services inflation fell slightly in November, from 4 to 3.9%, while goods inflation ticked up from 0.5 to 0.7%. Expectations for continued weak demand should help core inflation trend down in the months ahead, added the bank.