*
Longer term, tariff impact depends on outcome and scale of
program
*
Expand well-positioned for Gulf Coast demand growth -
analyst
*
Expand says on track to produce more in 2025, 2026 to meet
growing demand
*
Expand plans $2.7 bln investment to boost production by
2025
*
Expand aims for 7.5 bcfed production by 2026 with 15 rigs
*
(Rewrites throughout, adds details)
April 30 (Reuters) -
Expand Energy ( EXE ) said on Wednesday the biggest natural
gas producer in the U.S. expected minimal near-term impact from
President Donald Trump's on-again off-again
tariffs
due in part to the company's existing contracts.
In the longer term, the possible tariff impact is
"largely dependent upon outcome and scale of tariff program,"
Expand, formerly known as Chesapeake Energy before its merger
with Southwestern Energy in 2024, said in its first quarter
earnings presentation.
While the oil markets have been roiled by Trump's
changing tariff policies in his first 100 days in office,
natural gas and its liquefied state, LNG, have fared better.
On his first day of his second term, Trump ordered the
resumption
of LNG export approvals - something former President Joe
Biden had paused - and has started rolling back environmental
regulations that slowed projects, mainly on the Gulf Coast.
"We ... view Expand as one of the best positioned in
domestic E&P (exploration and production) to benefit from
increasing Gulf Coast natural gas demand," analysts at
investment banking company Piper Sandler said in a note.
Much of the expected demand growth for gas in 2025 and
2026 will come from annual increases of around 18% in LNG
exports and increases of around 8% in pipeline exports to Mexico
and Canada, according to the
Energy Information Administration
(EIA).
With six LNG export plants under construction along the
Gulf Coast, the federal agency projected
LNG exports
would keep hitting fresh record highs every year for the
next decade or so.
Meanwhile, Expand said it was on track to produce more
gas in 2025 and 2026 to meet growing demand for the fuel,
repeating what it said in its fourth quarter earnings in
February.
Expand executives told analysts on its earnings call it
expected to run about 12 rigs and invest about $2.7 billion to
produce around 7.1 billion cubic feet of gas equivalent per day
in 2025.
It also repeated plans to build incremental productive
capacity for an additional $300 million by exiting 2025 with
about 15 rigs that will grow production from a year-end 2025
exit rate of about 7.2 bcfed to average about 7.5 bcfed in 2026
should market conditions warrant.
Expand said this gives the company flexibility to remove
productive capacity capital expenditures if markets materially
soften.
"We continue to execute our business, utilizing our
productive capacity to navigate today's dynamic macro
environment and be prepared to efficiently respond as market
conditions change," Expand CEO Nick Dell'Osso said in its
earnings release.